All Picks
NHL · MoneylineWon
Minnesota Wild
@
Colorado Avalanche
Date
Mon, May 4
Time
1:00 AM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-185
Risk
MOD
PICK
Avalanche ML
-185 · 1 Unit
76%
✅ Winner
Minnesota Wild 6, Colorado Avalanche 9
+54.05u
The Edge
Colorado's elite goaltending infrastructure — both at the team and individual level — combined with superior record, momentum, and home ice makes the Avalanche a credible moderate favorite, though the -185 juice and Minnesota's strong road ATS history cap confidence just above the PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Colorado team SV% 95.0% (#2) vs Minnesota 92.4% (#5) — a +0.026 gap that is meaningful at the team level
Colorado team GAA 1.25 vs Minnesota 2.50 — Avalanche allow 1.25 fewer goals per game, the single largest team-level edge in this matchup
Scott Wedgewood 31-6 record, 2.02 GAA vs Wallstedt 2.61 GAA — Wedgewood holds a -0.59 GAA edge and a dramatically better win record in nearly identical shot volume
Colorado 55-16-11 record (.738 win%) on a W3 streak vs Minnesota 46-24-12 (.634) — Avalanche are the superior team by record, point differential (+2.0 vs +1.3), and current momentum