All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Mets
@
Colorado Rockies
Date
Mon, May 4
Time
9:40 PM
Venue
Coors Field
Spread
Mets ML
Odds
-143
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mets ML
-143 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Mets carry real pitching and head-to-head edges but the unknown starter at Coors Field and the -143 price on a 12-22 road team limits this to a lean rather than a confident pick.
Key Factors
Mets have swept the season series 3-0 vs Colorado, winning by scores of 3-0, 3-1, and 4-3 — demonstrated head-to-head dominance
Mets team ERA (3.97) is meaningfully better than Rockies team ERA (4.61), a 0.64-run gap that persists even in a hitter-friendly park
Mets WHIP (1.27) vs Rockies WHIP (1.41) — Colorado pitching staff leaks more baserunners per inning
Rockies are on a 4-game losing streak and have gone 4-6 ATS in their last 10, while Mets carry a W1 streak and are 5-3 ATS as underdogs on the road