All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Anaheim Ducks
@
Vegas Golden Knights
Date
Tue, May 5
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-166
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Golden Knights ML
-166 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Vegas ML is a LEAN — the goaltending and defensive edges are real, but Anaheim's elite road ATS record and superior offensive output prevent this from reaching PICK threshold at -166 juice.
Key Factors
Carter Hart posts a 2.71 GAA vs Dostal's 3.10 GAA — a 0.39 gap that is significant in a sport decided by 1-2 goals
Vegas team SV% is 89.2% (#26) vs Anaheim's 87.6% (#32 — dead last in the league), a 0.016 gap flagged as meaningful
Vegas allows 0.50 fewer goals per game (3.00 vs 3.50) and holds a +0.7 average scoring margin vs Anaheim's -0.5
Vegas is on a 3-game winning streak, won their last game 5-1, and carries home ice with a 20-12-9 home record (.610 home ATS)