All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
Boston Red Sox
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Tue, May 5
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-171
Risk
MOD
PICK
Tigers ML
-171 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
Boston Red Sox 10, Detroit Tigers 3
-100.00u
The Edge
Detroit's elite home record, superior offense and pitching metrics, and a clear starting pitcher edge in Valdez make the Tigers a justified moderate favorite at -171 on their home floor.
Key Factors
Detroit is 12-4 at home (.750) vs Boston 8-11 on the road (.421) — a 33-point win-rate gap in Detroit's favor
Detroit ATS at home: 12-4 (.750) vs Boston ATS on the road: 7-12 (.368) — a 38-point ATS gap
Detroit team OPS 0.728 vs Boston team OPS 0.671 — a .057 gap in offensive production; Detroit also leads in runs (162 vs 135) and HR (35 vs 24)
Detroit team ERA 3.84 vs Boston team ERA 4.14, and Detroit holds opponents to .696 OPS vs Boston allowing .730 OPS — Detroit is the better team on both sides of the ball