All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Tampa Bay Rays
Date
Wed, May 6
Time
5:10 PM
Venue
Tropicana Field
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
-143
Risk
MOD
PICK
Rays ML
-143 · 1 Unit
78%
✅ Winner
Toronto Blue Jays 0, Tampa Bay Rays 3
+69.93u
The Edge
The Rays ML at -143 sits in the sweet-spot value zone, backed by a superior starter, elite home ATS performance, and a Blue Jays road unit that is one of the worst in the league against the spread.
Key Factors
Rays are 13-4 at home (.765) vs Blue Jays 6-12 on the road (.333) — a 43-point win-rate gap
McClanahan ERA 3.10 vs Corbin ERA 3.65 — clear pitching edge for Tampa Bay; Rays team ERA 3.65 vs Toronto's 4.28 and WHIP 1.20 vs 1.31
Rays 8-2 ATS last 10 and 12-5 home ATS (.706) vs Blue Jays 6-12 road ATS (.333) — dominant cover trend
Tampa Bay has won 5 straight and already beat Toronto twice this series (5-1, 4-3); Blue Jays on L3 streak