All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Atlanta Braves
@
Seattle Mariners
Date
Wed, May 6
Time
8:10 PM
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
+113 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Atlanta ML is a LEAN — the pitching edge, road ATS dominance, and offensive superiority point clearly to the Braves, but the market pricing them as underdogs and the pitcher-friendly park introduce enough uncertainty to keep this below PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Starting pitcher ERA gap: Perez 2.22 vs Woo 4.61 — a 2.39-run edge that clears the 1.5+ threshold for a significant lean on Atlanta
Atlanta road ATS record is elite at 15-4 (.789); Seattle home ATS is a liability at 8-14 (.364)
Atlanta's team OPS (.802) and BA (.273) dwarf Seattle's (.692 OPS, .227 BA), with 212 runs scored vs Seattle's 150
Atlanta is 8-2 ATS last 10 games and carries a +2.1 run differential edge over Seattle on the season