ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (May 4)
AI Alpha Research·May 4, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of May 4
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 61.8% (21-13) | 20-14 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 60.6% (20-13) | 21-12 |
| Atlanta Braves | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 68.6% (24-11) | 25-10 |
| Chicago White Sox | MLB | 70.0% (7-3) | 52.9% (18-16) | 16-18 |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 20.0% (2-8) | 56.1% (46-36) | 43-30-9 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | MLB | 30.0% (3-7) | 20.6% (7-27) | 14-20 |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | MLB | 24-11 | 68.6% | 2.3 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 56-27 | 67.5% | 12.5 |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 55-27 | 67.1% | -0.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | MLB | 21-12 | 63.6% | -0.9 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 21-13 | 61.8% | — |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | MLB | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 29-12 | 70.7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 30-13 | 69.8% |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 10-5 | 66.7% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Florida Panthers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Detroit Tigers | MLB | 7-3 | 70.0% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
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