## ATS Trends Report — Week of May 4

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

## Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **St. Louis Cardinals** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 61.8% (21-13) | 20-14 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | **80.0%** (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| **Tampa Bay Rays** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 60.6% (20-13) | 21-12 |
| **Atlanta Braves** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 68.6% (24-11) | 25-10 |
| **Chicago White Sox** | MLB | **70.0%** (7-3) | 52.9% (18-16) | 16-18 |

## Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Phoenix Suns** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| **Philadelphia 76ers** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |
| **Charlotte Hornets** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
| **Washington Capitals** | NHL | **20.0%** (2-8) | 56.1% (46-36) | 43-30-9 |
| **Philadelphia Phillies** | MLB | **30.0%** (3-7) | 20.6% (7-27) | 14-20 |

## Best Overall ATS Records

| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|------|-------|-----------|-----------|------------|
| **Atlanta Braves** | MLB | 24-11 | **68.6%** | 2.3 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | 56-27 | **67.5%** | 12.5 |
| **Anaheim Ducks** | NHL | 55-27 | **67.1%** | -0.5 |
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 21-12 | **63.6%** | -0.9 |
| **St. Louis Cardinals** | MLB | 21-13 | **61.8%** | — |

## Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|------|-------|---------|------------|
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | 11-4 | **73.3%** |
| **Columbus Blue Jackets** | NHL | 29-12 | **70.7%** |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | 30-13 | **69.8%** |
| **LA Clippers** | NBA | 28-13 | **68.3%** |
| **Tampa Bay Rays** | MLB | 10-5 | **66.7%** |

## Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|------|-------|-------------|-----------|
| **Vegas Golden Knights** | NHL | 13-2 | **86.7%** |
| **Washington Capitals** | NHL | 25-10 | **71.4%** |
| **Edmonton Oilers** | NHL | 10-4 | **71.4%** |
| **Florida Panthers** | NHL | 10-4 | **71.4%** |
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | 7-3 | **70.0%** |

---

## Dig Deeper

- [NBA ATS Trends](/nba/trends) — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- [MLB ATS Trends](/mlb/trends) — run line records and O/U trends
- [NHL ATS Trends](/nhl/trends) — puck line records and betting splits
- [Today's AI Picks](/picks/today) — where the data meets the bet
- [Track Record](/performance) — our full transparent record

*Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.*

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (May 4)

## ATS Trends Report — Week of April 27

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

## Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **New York Yankees** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 57.1% (16-12) | 18-10 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | **80.0%** (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| **Atlanta Braves** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 65.5% (19-10) | 20-9 |
| **Montreal Canadiens** | NHL | **70.0%** (7-3) | 58.5% (48-34) | 48-24-10 |
| **LA Clippers** | NBA | **70.0%** (7-3) | 57.3% (47-35) | 42-40 |

## Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Philadelphia Phillies** | MLB | **10.0%** (1-9) | 17.9% (5-23) | 9-19 |
| **Phoenix Suns** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| **New York Mets** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 32.1% (9-19) | 9-19 |
| **Washington Capitals** | NHL | **20.0%** (2-8) | 56.1% (46-36) | 43-30-9 |
| **Minnesota Twins** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 50.0% (14-14) | 12-16 |

## Best Overall ATS Records

| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|------|-------|-----------|-----------|------------|
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 19-8 | **70.4%** | -0.2 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | 56-27 | **67.5%** | 12.5 |
| **Anaheim Ducks** | NHL | 55-27 | **67.1%** | -0.5 |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 19-10 | **65.5%** | -0.4 |
| **Atlanta Braves** | MLB | 19-10 | **65.5%** | 2.2 |

## Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|------|-------|---------|------------|
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | 10-3 | **76.9%** |
| **Columbus Blue Jackets** | NHL | 29-12 | **70.7%** |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | 30-13 | **69.8%** |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 9-4 | **69.2%** |
| **Cleveland Guardians** | MLB | 9-4 | **69.2%** |

## Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|------|-------|-------------|-----------|
| **Vegas Golden Knights** | NHL | 13-2 | **86.7%** |
| **Athletics** | MLB | 18-7 | **72.0%** |
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 15-6 | **71.4%** |
| **Washington Capitals** | NHL | 25-10 | **71.4%** |
| **Pittsburgh Pirates** | MLB | 10-4 | **71.4%** |

---

## Dig Deeper

- [NBA ATS Trends](/nba/trends) — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- [MLB ATS Trends](/mlb/trends) — run line records and O/U trends
- [NHL ATS Trends](/nhl/trends) — puck line records and betting splits
- [Today's AI Picks](/picks/today) — where the data meets the bet
- [Track Record](/performance) — our full transparent record

*Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.*

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (April 27)

## ATS Trends Report — Week of April 20

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

## Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 77.3% (17-5) | 13-9 |
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 54.5% (12-10) | 12-10 |
| **Los Angeles Angels** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 60.9% (14-9) | 11-12 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | **80.0%** (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 68.2% (15-7) | 15-7 |

## Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Philadelphia Phillies** | MLB | **10.0%** (1-9) | 19.0% (4-17) | 8-13 |
| **Phoenix Suns** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| **Houston Astros** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 34.8% (8-15) | 8-15 |
| **Charlotte Hornets** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
| **Philadelphia 76ers** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |

## Best Overall ATS Records

| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|------|-------|-----------|-----------|------------|
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 17-5 | **77.3%** | -0.1 |
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | 15-7 | **68.2%** | 0.8 |
| **Oklahoma City Thunder** | NBA | 56-27 | **67.5%** | 12.5 |
| **Anaheim Ducks** | NHL | 55-27 | **67.1%** | -0.5 |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 14-8 | **63.6%** | -0.5 |

## Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|------|-------|---------|------------|
| **Cleveland Guardians** | MLB | 8-2 | **80.0%** |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 7-2 | **77.8%** |
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | 7-2 | **77.8%** |
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | 10-3 | **76.9%** |
| **Columbus Blue Jackets** | NHL | 29-12 | **70.7%** |

## Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|------|-------|-------------|-----------|
| **Vegas Golden Knights** | NHL | 13-2 | **86.7%** |
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Pittsburgh Pirates** | MLB | 9-3 | **75.0%** |
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 14-5 | **73.7%** |
| **Washington Capitals** | NHL | 25-10 | **71.4%** |

---

## Dig Deeper

- [NBA ATS Trends](/nba/trends) — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- [MLB ATS Trends](/mlb/trends) — run line records and O/U trends
- [NHL ATS Trends](/nhl/trends) — puck line records and betting splits
- [Today's AI Picks](/picks/today) — where the data meets the bet
- [Track Record](/performance) — our full transparent record

*Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.*

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (April 20)

## ATS Trends Report — Week of April 13

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

## Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Boston Bruins** | NHL | **80.0%** (8-2) | 65.4% (53-28) | 44-27-10 |
| **Pittsburgh Pirates** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 66.7% (10-5) | 9-6 |
| **Edmonton Oilers** | NHL | **80.0%** (8-2) | 43.8% (35-45) | 40-30-10 |
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 68.8% (11-5) | 10-6 |
| **Boston Celtics** | NBA | **80.0%** (8-2) | 59.8% (49-33) | 56-26 |

## Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Philadelphia Phillies** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 20.0% (3-12) | 7-8 |
| **Toronto Blue Jays** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 26.7% (4-11) | 6-9 |
| **Washington Wizards** | NBA | **20.0%** (2-8) | 40.2% (33-49) | 17-65 |
| **Anaheim Ducks** | NHL | **20.0%** (2-8) | 45.0% (36-44) | 42-32-6 |
| **Golden State Warriors** | NBA | **30.0%** (3-7) | 42.0% (34-47) | 37-45 |

## Best Overall ATS Records

| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|------|-------|-----------|-----------|------------|
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 13-3 | **81.3%** | -0.4 |
| **San Diego Padres** | MLB | 11-5 | **68.8%** | 0.9 |
| **Athletics** | MLB | 10-5 | **66.7%** | -0.1 |
| **Pittsburgh Pirates** | MLB | 10-5 | **66.7%** | 0.5 |
| **Washington Nationals** | MLB | 10-5 | **66.7%** | 0.1 |

## Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|------|-------|---------|------------|
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Cleveland Guardians** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Houston Astros** | MLB | 5-2 | **71.4%** |
| **Minnesota Twins** | MLB | 5-2 | **71.4%** |

## Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|------|-------|-------------|-----------|
| **Montreal Canadiens** | NHL | 34-3 | **91.9%** |
| **Tampa Bay Lightning** | NHL | 11-1 | **91.7%** |
| **Vegas Golden Knights** | NHL | 15-2 | **88.2%** |
| **Detroit Pistons** | NBA | 13-2 | **86.7%** |
| **Dallas Stars** | NHL | 14-3 | **82.4%** |

---

## Dig Deeper

- [NBA ATS Trends](/nba/trends) — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- [MLB ATS Trends](/mlb/trends) — run line records and O/U trends
- [NHL ATS Trends](/nhl/trends) — puck line records and betting splits
- [Today's AI Picks](/picks/today) — where the data meets the bet
- [Track Record](/performance) — our full transparent record

*Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.*

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (April 13)

## ATS Trends Report — Week of April 10

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

## Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Indiana Pacers** | NBA | **80.0%** (8-2) | 47.5% (38-42) | 19-61 |
| **Winnipeg Jets** | NHL | **80.0%** (8-2) | 47.4% (37-41) | 35-31-12 |
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | **80.0%** (8-2) | 76.9% (10-3) | 7-6 |
| **Edmonton Oilers** | NHL | **70.0%** (7-3) | 43.0% (34-45) | 40-29-10 |
| **Boston Bruins** | NHL | **70.0%** (7-3) | 64.6% (51-28) | 43-26-10 |

## Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|------|-------|------------|-------------|--------|
| **Philadelphia Phillies** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 25.0% (3-9) | 6-6 |
| **Detroit Tigers** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 30.8% (4-9) | 4-9 |
| **Vancouver Canucks** | NHL | **20.0%** (2-8) | 44.9% (35-43) | 22-48-8 |
| **Columbus Blue Jackets** | NHL | **20.0%** (2-8) | 50.6% (40-39) | 39-28-12 |
| **Boston Red Sox** | MLB | **20.0%** (2-8) | 25.0% (3-9) | 4-8 |

## Best Overall ATS Records

| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|------|-------|-----------|-----------|------------|
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 10-3 | **76.9%** | 0.5 |
| **Arizona Diamondbacks** | MLB | 10-3 | **76.9%** | -0.5 |
| **Milwaukee Brewers** | MLB | 9-3 | **75.0%** | 2.0 |
| **Cleveland Guardians** | MLB | 9-4 | **69.2%** | 0.2 |
| **New York Yankees** | MLB | 8-4 | **66.7%** | 2.1 |

## Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|------|-------|---------|------------|
| **Cleveland Guardians** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Milwaukee Brewers** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Colorado Rockies** | MLB | 5-1 | **83.3%** |
| **Houston Astros** | MLB | 5-2 | **71.4%** |
| **Minnesota Twins** | MLB | 5-2 | **71.4%** |

## Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|------|-------|-------------|-----------|
| **Tampa Bay Lightning** | NHL | 11-1 | **91.7%** |
| **Montreal Canadiens** | NHL | 33-3 | **91.7%** |
| **Vegas Golden Knights** | NHL | 14-2 | **87.5%** |
| **Detroit Pistons** | NBA | 12-2 | **85.7%** |
| **Texas Rangers** | MLB | 6-1 | **85.7%** |

---

## Dig Deeper

- [NBA ATS Trends](/nba/trends) — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- [MLB ATS Trends](/mlb/trends) — run line records and O/U trends
- [NHL ATS Trends](/nhl/trends) — puck line records and betting splits
- [Today's AI Picks](/picks/today) — where the data meets the bet
- [Track Record](/performance) — our full transparent record

*Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.*

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (April 10)

The NBA regular season is almost over. 78 games of data. Enough to separate signal from noise.

Here's who's been covering — and who hasn't.

## The ATS Leaders

We track every team's record against the spread on our [NBA trends page](/nba/trends). The leaders right now are covering at 58-60% — well above the 52.4% breakeven threshold.

What separates them: they're not just winning games. They're winning by more than expected. That's margin — the gap between what Vegas thinks and what actually happens.

## Why ATS Matters More Than Record

A 50-28 team and a 45-33 team can have the same ATS record. Straight-up record tells you who's good. ATS record tells you who's profitable.

The public bets on good teams. Sharps bet on undervalued teams. Sometimes those overlap. Often they don't.

Check the [ATS leaderboard](/nba/trends) — you'll find teams in the top 10 ATS that aren't in the top 10 straight-up. Those are the value plays.

## Home vs Away Splits

Some teams crush at home but fade on the road. Others are road warriors.

The [Splits tab](/nba/trends) on our trends page shows this side-by-side. Heading into the playoffs, road ATS record is the number to watch. Every series has 2-3 road games. The teams covering away from home in April tend to cover away from home in May.

## Who's Hot Right Now

Season-long ATS is useful. But the [last 10 games](/nba/trends) tell you who's peaking.

Teams covering 7-3 or better in their last 10 are either:
- Playing their best basketball heading into the postseason
- Facing inflated lines because the market hasn't caught up

Either way, the trend is your friend until the data says otherwise.

## The Fade List

Just as important: who's NOT covering.

Teams below 45% ATS over the last 10 games are either:
- Resting starters ahead of playoffs (if they've clinched)
- Genuinely falling apart

Context matters. But the number doesn't lie.

## Use the Data

Our [trends page](/nba/trends) updates daily from our pre-computed database. Every ATS record, every split, every O/U trend — sortable, filterable, free.

When you see a matchup on our [picks page](/picks/today), check the trends first. The models already do. Now you can too.

[NBA Trends](/nba/trends) · [Today's Picks](/nba/picks-today) · [Track Record](/performance)

Best ATS Teams in the NBA Right Now

Ten days into the MLB season. Everyone has an opinion. Most of them are wrong.

Early April baseball is noise. But inside the noise, there are patterns. Here are five that actually hold up.

## 1. Unders Are Crushing

The league-wide over/under record through the first week is tilted heavily toward unders. Cold weather, rusty bats, cautious managers still figuring out their bullpens.

Check our [MLB trends page](/mlb/trends) — sort by O/U and you'll see most teams are under 50% on overs. This flips by May. Ride it while it lasts.

## 2. Home Dogs Are Covering

Home underdogs in April are covering at a clip well above the season average. The reason: early-season lines are based on projections, not results. Teams that were bad last year open as dogs even when they've retooled.

The market catches up by week 3. The window is now.

## 3. Don't Trust Pitching Stats Yet

A pitcher with a 1.20 ERA through two starts means nothing. Neither does a 6.50 ERA. Sample size is everything in baseball.

Our models weight last season's stats heavily in April, then gradually shift to current season data as it accumulates. If you're betting based on a starter's April ERA, you're betting on two data points.

## 4. The Bullpen Tells the Story

Starting pitching gets the attention. Bullpens decide April games.

Managers are still establishing roles. Setup guys are pitching in close games for the first time. Closers are shaking off rust. The teams with the most stable bullpen usage patterns from spring training are outperforming.

Our [MLB matchup pages](/mlb/matchups) show team-level pitching stats that capture bullpen performance beyond just the starter.

## 5. The Schedule Matters More Than You Think

A team playing its 4th road game in 5 days against a rested home team — that's a spot. Travel fatigue compounds in April when bodies aren't conditioned yet.

We track [rest and travel edges](/mlb/matchups) on every matchup page. It's one of the 10 emotional edge scenarios in our methodology.

## The Bottom Line

April is for sharps. The public overreacts to small samples. The models don't.

Our [MLB picks](/mlb/picks-today) factor in all of this — last year's data weighted appropriately, park factors, bullpen stability, and schedule context.

[Check today's picks](/mlb/picks-today)