ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (May 11)
AI Alpha Research·May 11, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of May 11
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| Montreal Canadiens | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 58.5% (48-34) | 48-24-10 |
| Detroit Tigers | MLB | 70.0% (7-3) | 51.2% (21-20) | 19-22 |
| Buffalo Sabres | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 52.4% (43-39) | 50-23-9 |
| Chicago White Sox | MLB | 70.0% (7-3) | 52.5% (21-19) | 19-21 |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| Colorado Rockies | MLB | 20.0% (2-8) | 53.7% (22-19) | 16-25 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 20.0% (2-8) | 56.1% (46-36) | 43-30-9 |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | MLB | 28-13 | 68.3% | 2.1 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 56-27 | 67.5% | 12.5 |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 55-27 | 67.1% | -0.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | MLB | 25-14 | 64.1% | -0.6 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 25-14 | 64.1% | 0.5 |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 13-5 | 72.2% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 29-12 | 70.7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 30-13 | 69.8% |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Detroit Tigers | MLB | 12-6 | 66.7% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Florida Panthers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Atlanta Braves | MLB | 7-3 | 70.0% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
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