ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (June 29)
AI Alpha Research·June 29, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of June 29
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | MLB | 90.0% (9-1) | 53.6% (45-39) | 44-40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| San Diego Padres | MLB | 70.0% (7-3) | 54.9% (45-37) | 43-39 |
| Los Angeles Kings | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 50.0% (41-41) | — |
| Chicago Blackhawks | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 53.7% (44-38) | — |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 20.0% (2-8) | 56.8% (46-35) | 43-38 |
| New York Yankees | MLB | 20.0% (2-8) | 47.0% (39-44) | 48-35 |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 56-27 | 67.5% | 12.5 |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 55-27 | 67.1% | -0.5 |
| Washington Nationals | MLB | 52-33 | 61.2% | 0.1 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | NBA | 49-33 | 59.8% | 9.5 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 49-33 | 59.8% | 0.1 |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 29-12 | 70.7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 30-13 | 69.8% |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 29-14 | 67.4% |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 27-14 | 65.9% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| Florida Panthers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 32-13 | 71.1% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
Get picks like these daily
Multi-model AI consensus picks delivered before first pitch.
Found this useful?
Related Posts
Every pick graded. Every loss shown.
See our full public track record — then decide.