ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (July 20)
AI Alpha Research·July 20, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of July 20
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 44.4% (44-55) | 56-43 |
| Boston Red Sox | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 48.0% (47-51) | 50-48 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | 64-18 |
| Los Angeles Kings | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 50.0% (41-41) | — |
| Chicago Blackhawks | NHL | 70.0% (7-3) | 53.7% (44-38) | — |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | MLB | 10.0% (1-9) | 46.0% (46-54) | 63-37 |
| Texas Rangers | MLB | 20.0% (2-8) | 44.4% (44-55) | 50-49 |
| Phoenix Suns | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | 45-37 |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | 44-38 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | 45-37 |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 56-27 | 67.5% | 12.5 |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 55-27 | 67.1% | -0.5 |
| San Jose Sharks | NHL | 49-33 | 59.8% | -1.3 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | NBA | 49-33 | 59.8% | 9.5 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 49-33 | 59.8% | 0.1 |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 29-12 | 70.7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 30-13 | 69.8% |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 33-17 | 66.0% |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 27-14 | 65.9% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Florida Panthers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 37-15 | 71.2% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
Get picks like these daily
Multi-model AI consensus picks delivered before first pitch.
Found this useful?
Related Posts
Every pick graded. Every loss shown.
See our full public track record — then decide.