ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (July 27)
AI Alpha Research·July 27, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of July 27
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 67.5% (56-27) | — |
| Kansas City Royals | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 44.9% (48-59) | 45-62 |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 70.0% (7-3) | 57.3% (47-35) | — |
| San Diego Padres | MLB | 70.0% (7-3) | 55.7% (59-47) | 53-53 |
| Golden State Warriors | NBA | 70.0% (7-3) | 52.4% (43-39) | — |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | MLB | 10.0% (1-9) | 49.1% (52-54) | 52-54 |
| Phoenix Suns | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 39.0% (32-50) | — |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 43.9% (36-46) | — |
| Philadelphia 76ers | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 34.1% (28-54) | — |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 20.0% (2-8) | 56.1% (46-36) | — |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 56-27 | 67.5% | 12.5 |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 55-27 | 67.1% | -0.5 |
| Washington Nationals | MLB | 64-42 | 60.4% | 0.3 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 49-33 | 59.8% | 0.1 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | NBA | 49-33 | 59.8% | 9.5 |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Blue Jackets | NHL | 29-12 | 70.7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | NBA | 30-13 | 69.8% |
| LA Clippers | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 35-18 | 66.0% |
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 27-14 | 65.9% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Florida Panthers | NHL | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 39-16 | 70.9% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
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