ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (August 3)
AI Alpha Research·August 3, 2026·3 min read
ATS Trends Report — Week of August 3
Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.
Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | NHL | 90.0% (9-1) | 45.1% (37-45) | — |
| Boston Bruins | NHL | 80.0% (8-2) | 65.9% (54-28) | — |
| Washington Capitals | NHL | 80.0% (8-2) | 54.9% (45-37) | — |
| Houston Astros | MLB | 80.0% (8-2) | 51.3% (58-55) | 58-55 |
| Boston Celtics | NBA | 80.0% (8-2) | 59.8% (49-33) | — |
Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)
Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.
| Team | Sport | Last 10 ATS | Overall ATS | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | NHL | 10.0% (1-9) | 43.9% (36-46) | — |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | NHL | 20.0% (2-8) | 46.3% (38-44) | — |
| Washington Wizards | NBA | 20.0% (2-8) | 40.2% (33-49) | — |
| Los Angeles Kings | NHL | 20.0% (2-8) | 36.6% (30-52) | — |
| Seattle Mariners | MLB | 20.0% (2-8) | 36.3% (41-72) | 55-58 |
Best Overall ATS Records
| Team | Sport | ATS Record | ATS Win % | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | NHL | 54-28 | 65.9% | 0.3 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | NHL | 52-30 | 63.4% | 0.1 |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 50-32 | 61.0% | 4.8 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | NHL | 48-32 | 60.0% | -0.7 |
| San Jose Sharks | NHL | 49-33 | 59.8% | -0.5 |
Best Home ATS Teams
Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.
| Team | Sport | Home ATS | Home ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | NBA | 28-13 | 68.3% |
| Boston Bruins | NHL | 27-14 | 65.9% |
| Calgary Flames | NHL | 27-14 | 65.9% |
| Chicago White Sox | MLB | 35-20 | 63.6% |
| Charlotte Hornets | NBA | 26-15 | 63.4% |
Best Underdog ATS Teams
Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.
| Team | Sport | Underdog ATS | Dog ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | NHL | 34-3 | 91.9% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | NHL | 11-1 | 91.7% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | NHL | 15-2 | 88.2% |
| Detroit Pistons | NBA | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| Dallas Stars | NHL | 14-3 | 82.4% |
Dig Deeper
- NBA ATS Trends — full sortable ATS data for every NBA team
- MLB ATS Trends — run line records and O/U trends
- NHL ATS Trends — puck line records and betting splits
- Today's AI Picks — where the data meets the bet
- Track Record — our full transparent record
Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.
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