ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (August 17)

ATS Trends Report — Who's Covering, Who's Fading (August 17)

AI Alpha Research·August 17, 2026·3 min read
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ATS Trends Report — Week of August 17

Which teams are covering the spread right now? Which ones are bleeding money? We pulled the latest ATS data across NBA, MLB, and NHL to find the sharpest edges and the biggest fades.

Hottest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

These teams are on a covering streak. The market hasn't caught up yet.

TeamSportLast 10 ATSOverall ATSRecord
Edmonton OilersNHL90.0% (9-1)45.1% (37-45)
Boston BruinsNHL80.0% (8-2)65.9% (54-28)
San Diego PadresMLB80.0% (8-2)56.0% (70-55)67-58
Toronto Blue JaysMLB80.0% (8-2)47.6% (60-66)61-65
Washington CapitalsNHL80.0% (8-2)54.9% (45-37)

Coldest ATS Teams (Last 10 Games)

Fade candidates. These teams are getting hammered against the spread.

TeamSportLast 10 ATSOverall ATSRecord
Anaheim DucksNHL10.0% (1-9)43.9% (36-46)
Washington WizardsNBA20.0% (2-8)40.2% (33-49)
Seattle KrakenNHL20.0% (2-8)57.3% (47-35)
Los Angeles KingsNHL20.0% (2-8)36.6% (30-52)
Los Angeles DodgersMLB20.0% (2-8)41.6% (52-73)74-51

Best Overall ATS Records

TeamSportATS RecordATS Win %Avg Margin
Boston BruinsNHL54-2865.9%0.3
Philadelphia FlyersNHL52-3063.4%0.1
Charlotte HornetsNBA50-3261.0%4.8
Chicago BlackhawksNHL48-3260.0%-0.7
San Jose SharksNHL49-3359.8%-0.5

Best Home ATS Teams

Home court/field/ice advantage is real — these teams are cashing at home.

TeamSportHome ATSHome ATS %
New York KnicksNBA28-1368.3%
Boston BruinsNHL27-1465.9%
Calgary FlamesNHL27-1465.9%
Charlotte HornetsNBA26-1563.4%
San Jose SharksNHL26-1563.4%

Best Underdog ATS Teams

Getting points and still covering. These are the sharps' favorite fades.

TeamSportUnderdog ATSDog ATS %
Montreal CanadiensNHL34-391.9%
Tampa Bay LightningNHL11-191.7%
Vegas Golden KnightsNHL15-288.2%
Detroit PistonsNBA13-286.7%
Dallas StarsNHL14-382.4%

Dig Deeper

Data updated daily. ATS records sourced from ESPN and computed by AiAlpha.bet.

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