AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Braves @ Rockies

Sun, May 3 12:10 AMCoors FieldMLB.TV
Final
ATL 9 - 1 COL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL -1.5·COL +1.5
Moneyline
ATL -219·COL +179
Total
9.5
Braves
Away
Braves
36-17
19-8 road
L
W
W
W
W
Rockies
Home
Rockies
20-34
10-15 home
L
L
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-226· moderate risk
68%

Atlanta carries a +2.4 run differential edge, an elite 11-4 road ATS record (.733), and sends Chris Sale (5-1, 2.31 ERA) to the mound — but the -226 price demands ~69% implied probability, making this a LEAN rather than a PICK given the juice required

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Sale
ATL
Chris Sale
(7-3, 1.89)
1.89
ERA
Brennan Bernardino
COL
Brennan Bernardino
(2-2, 3.54)
3.54
ERA

Season Series — ATL 3 - COL 0

ATL 11-6 COL
May 3
ATL 9-1 COL
May 3
ATL 8-6 COL
May 2

Batting

0.262
#1
AVG
0.243
#10
0.760
#2
OPS
0.690
#21
72
#2
HR
45
#23
281
#2
R
218
#19
275
#1
RBI
209
#19
25
#23
SB
43
#10

Pitching

3.06
#1
ERA
4.90
#28
1.130
#2
WHIP
1.460
#28
474
#6
K
389
#27
178
#14
BB
183
#15
26
#3
QS
7
#30
15
#7
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.0
#6
K/9
7.5
#28
0.207
#1
OPP AVG
0.275
#30
0.633
#3
OPP OPS
0.796
#30
29
#14
HLD
22
#23

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

34-19
Overall ATS
29-25
20-7
Away/Home ATS
13-12
25-16
As Favorite
0-0
9-3
As Underdog
29-25
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-2
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +1.9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -1.2

Scoring

5.30
R/G
4.06
3.36
RA/G
5.22
1.9
DIFF
-1.1

Injury Report

ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLHurston WaldrepSP
60-Day-IL
ATLDrake BaldwinC
10-Day-IL
ATLKyle FarmerDH
10-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
10-Day-IL
ATLDanny YoungRP
60-Day-IL
COLJose QuintanaSP
Day-To-Day
COLWilli Castro2B
Day-To-Day
COLMickey MoniakLF
10-Day-IL
COLBrenton DoyleCF
10-Day-IL
COLChase DollanderSP
15-Day-IL
COLVictor VodnikRP
15-Day-IL
COLRyan FeltnerSP
15-Day-IL
COLJordan BeckLF
10-Day-IL