All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Atlanta Braves
@
Colorado Rockies
Date
Sat, May 2
Time
12:40 AM
Venue
Coors Field
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
-186
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-186 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Atlanta is the clearly superior team and a lean is warranted, but the -186 price at Coors Field — where park factors can erase pitching edges overnight — keeps this out of PICK territory.
Key Factors
Atlanta's team ERA of 3.12 vs Colorado's 4.19 — a 1.07 gap — reflects a significant pitching quality edge across the full roster
Grant Holmes (2-1, 3.62) holds a meaningful ERA advantage over Jose Quintana (1-2, 4.91) — a 1.29 ERA delta approaching the 1.5 threshold for a significant starter edge
Atlanta is 10-4 (.714) ATS on the road this season — elite road performance with a 22-10 overall record and .688 win percentage
Atlanta's team OPS of .786 vs Colorado's .724 and opponent OPS allowed of .636 vs .763 shows a dominant two-way edge in run creation and prevention