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MLB Matchup

Cardinals @ Reds

Wed, Aug 19 10:40 PMGreat American Ball ParkMLB.TV
Final
STL 4 - 5 CIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
STL +1.5·CIN -1.5
Moneyline
STL +125·CIN -134
Total
8.5
Cardinals
Away
Cardinals
66-66
34-32 road
L
L
L
W
L
Reds
Home
Reds
62-69
32-36 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-148· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns (2.47 ERA, 14-2) holds a massive 2.60 ERA advantage over Matthew Liberatore (5.07 ERA, 5-10), the single dominant signal in MLB handicapping.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Matthew Liberatore
STL
Matthew Liberatore
(5-11, 5.04)
5.04
ERA
Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(14-2, 2.51)
2.51
ERA

Season Series — STL 8 - CIN 5

STL 10-9 CIN
Aug 20
STL 5-4 CIN
Aug 19
STL 3-0 CIN
Aug 18
STL 6-5 CIN
Aug 17
STL 2-1 CIN
Aug 17
STL 5-3 CIN
Jul 26
STL 7-0 CIN
Jul 25
STL 4-2 CIN
Jul 25
STL 5-3 CIN
Jun 7
STL 6-5 CIN
Jun 6
STL 10-3 CIN
Jun 6
STL 7-6 CIN
May 23
STL 8-1 CIN
May 23

Batting

0.241
#20
AVG
0.227
#30
0.699
#24
OPS
0.699
#24
137
#21
HR
169
#6
585
#16
R
537
#24
570
#11
RBI
513
#25
82
#17
SB
89
#14

Pitching

4.14
#17
ERA
4.52
#24
1.340
#22
WHIP
1.410
#28
1015
#24
K
1054
#21
446
#18
BB
543
#30
47
#10
QS
44
#16
38
#8
SV
33
#16

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.1
#22
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.248
#20
0.721
#18
OPP OPS
0.747
#26
85
#6
HLD
73
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-61
Overall ATS
67-64
36-30
Away/Home ATS
32-36
13-24
As Favorite
19-22
58-37
As Underdog
48-42
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-2
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

4.43
R/G
4.10
4.45
RA/G
4.82
0.0
DIFF
-0.7

Injury Report

STLMasyn WinnSS
Day-To-Day
STLEverson PereiraRF
10-Day-IL
STLHunter DobbinsSP
15-Day-IL
STLAndre PallanteSP
15-Day-IL
STLMax RajcicRP
60-Day-IL
CINMichael Toglia1B
10-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL