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MLB Matchup

Cardinals @ Reds

Wed, Aug 19 10:40 PMGreat American Ball ParkMLB.TV
Final
STL 4 - 5 CIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
STL +1.5·CIN -1.5
Moneyline
STL +125·CIN -134
Total
8.5
Cardinals
Away
Cardinals
77-85
39-42 road
Reds
Home
Reds
75-87
38-43 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-148· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns (2.47 ERA, 14-2) holds a massive 2.60 ERA advantage over Matthew Liberatore (5.07 ERA, 5-10), the single dominant signal in MLB handicapping.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Matthew Liberatore
STL
Matthew Liberatore
(6-14, 5.23)
5.23
ERA
Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(15-3, 2.86)
2.86
ERA

Batting

0.239
#19
AVG
0.229
#27
0.691
#25
OPS
0.699
#21
167
#17
HR
213
#1
720
#10
R
666
#19
696
#9
RBI
635
#20
100
#12
SB
112
#9

Pitching

4.27
#17
ERA
4.83
#24
1.360
#22
WHIP
1.440
#25
1278
#18
K
1293
#16
564
#21
BB
668
#30
54
#9
QS
49
#14
46
#4
SV
42
#10

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#22
K/9
8.1
#21
0.254
#24
OPP AVG
0.254
#24
0.727
#20
OPP OPS
0.770
#25
95
#6
HLD
89
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

87-75
Overall ATS
82-80
44-37
Away/Home ATS
38-43
15-33
As Favorite
19-25
72-42
As Underdog
63-55
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -1.0

Scoring

4.44
R/G
4.11
4.62
RA/G
5.10
-0.2
DIFF
-1.0

Injury Report

STLHunter DobbinsSP
Out
STLRichard FittsSP
Day-To-Day
STLMasyn WinnSS
Out
STLBlaze Jordan3B
10-Day-IL
STLJoshua BaezLF
10-Day-IL
STLEverson PereiraRF
10-Day-IL
STLMax RajcicRP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
60-Day-IL
CINDane MyersCF
Out
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
CINChase BurnsSP
15-Day-IL
CINJulian GarciaRP
15-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL