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MLB Matchup

Mariners @ Padres

Fri, Apr 17 12:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV
Final
SEA 2 - 5 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
SEA -1.5·SD +1.5
Moneyline
SEA -122·SD +102
Total
8.5
Mariners
Away
Mariners
66-75
29-43 road
L
W
W
L
L
Padres
Home
Padres
73-67
41-28 home
L
L
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Padres ML
+100· moderate risk
72%

San Diego is 9-1 ATS last 10 games with a 9-3 home ATS record (.750) while Seattle is 1-7 on the road both SU and ATS (.125), creating a stark home/road split advantage for the Padres.

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Starting Pitchers

Luis Castillo
SEA
Luis Castillo
(4-11, 5.57)
5.57
ERA
Walker Buehler
SD
Walker Buehler
(8-6, 4.66)
4.66
ERA

Season Series — SEA 0 - SD 6

SEA 8-3 SD
May 17
SEA 7-4 SD
May 16
SEA 2-0 SD
May 16
SEA 5-2 SD
Apr 17
SEA 7-6 SD
Apr 16
SEA 4-1 SD
Apr 15

Batting

0.229
#29
AVG
0.237
#22
0.686
#28
OPS
0.701
#24
162
#15
HR
153
#20
559
#30
R
594
#22
538
#30
RBI
572
#22
98
#11
SB
138
#3

Pitching

4.20
#18
ERA
3.94
#10
1.260
#11
WHIP
1.290
#14
1186
#15
K
1131
#20
370
#2
BB
475
#17
59
#3
QS
32
#26
30
#24
SV
40
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#12
K/9
8.2
#19
0.251
#22
OPP AVG
0.242
#16
0.723
#18
OPP OPS
0.709
#13
73
#19
HLD
86
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

53-88
Overall ATS
80-60
27-45
Away/Home ATS
40-29
39-69
As Favorite
28-34
14-19
As Underdog
52-26
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

3.96
R/G
4.24
4.45
RA/G
4.17
-0.4
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

SEABrennen DavisCF
60-Day-IL
SEAColt EmersonSS
60-Day-IL
SEANick DavilaRP
15-Day-IL
SEAEmerson HancockSP
15-Day-IL
SEAMatt BrashRP
60-Day-IL
SEALuke RaleyRF
60-Day-IL
SEACole WilcoxRP
15-Day-IL
SEAWill Wilson3B
60-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDLuis RengifoLF
60-Day-IL
SDNick PivettaSP
60-Day-IL
SDGavin Sheets1B
10-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
60-Day-IL
SDJason AdamRP
60-Day-IL
SDMiguel AndujarDH
10-Day-IL