MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Cubs

Wed, Sep 23 11:40 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV

Final

MIA 3 - 2 CHC

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

MIA +1.5·CHC -1.5

Moneyline

MIA +159·CHC -194

Total

6.5

Marlins

Away

Marlins

80-82

33-48 road

Cubs

Home

Cubs

89-73

46-35 home

L

L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

-181· moderate risk

Chicago's much stronger offense (837 runs, .770 OPS, 217 HR) and home-field edge (45-34) outweigh Miami's slight starting-pitcher ERA advantage.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ryan Gusto

MIA

Ryan Gusto

(1-5, 4.09)

4.09

ERA

Kevin Gausman

CHC

Kevin Gausman

(9-12, 4.51)

4.51

ERA

Batting

0.249

#9

AVG

0.129

#29

0.727

#11

OPS

0.374

#30

168

#16

HR

0

#30

715

#12

R

1

#30

685

#11

RBI

1

#30

163

#3

SB

1

#27

Pitching

4.09

#12

ERA

6.19

#29

1.280

#12

WHIP

1.500

#27

1323

#12

K

13

#30

561

#20

BB

3

#3

48

#16

QS

0

#27

35

#16

SV

0

#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3

#16

K/9

7.3

#28

0.235

#11

OPP AVG

0.328

#29

0.697

#10

OPP OPS

0.925

#29

90

#8

HLD

0

#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

83-79

Overall ATS

0-2

41-40

Away/Home ATS

0-0

33-38

As Favorite

0-0

50-41

As Underdog

0-2

0-0-5

Over/Under

0-0

7-3

Last 10 ATS

0-2

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.2

ATS Win%

0.0%

Avg spread: +1.5

Avg margin: -5.5

Scoring

4.41

R/G

5.25

4.40

RA/G

4.34

0.0

DIFF

0.9

Injury Report

MIATyler ZuberRP

15-Day-IL

MIAJakob MarseeCF

Out

MIARobby SnellingSP

60-Day-IL

MIAAdam MazurSP

60-Day-IL

MIAAnthony BenderRP

15-Day-IL

MIAPete FairbanksRP

15-Day-IL

MIAMax MeyerSP

15-Day-IL

MIAOwen CaissieRF

10-Day-IL

CHCJustin SteeleSP

60-Day-IL

CHCShelby MillerRP

60-Day-IL

CHCBen BrownRP

60-Day-IL

CHCPhil MatonRP

60-Day-IL

CHCRiley MartinRP

60-Day-IL

CHCHunter HarveyRP

60-Day-IL

CHCPorter HodgeRP

60-Day-IL

CHCCade HortonSP

60-Day-IL