All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Miami Marlins
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Wed, Sep 23
Time
11:40 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-181
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-181 · 1 Unit
70%
The Edge
Lean Cubs ML at -181 because their offense, home record, and motivation are stronger, but the pitching matchup and price keep it from being a PICK.
Key Factors
Cubs score far more: 837 runs and .770 OPS vs Marlins' 700 runs and .727 OPS; Chicago also has 217 HR vs Miami's 162.
Cubs are 45-34 at home while Miami is only 32-47 on the road.
Cubs are 87-70 (.554) vs Marlins 77-80 (.490), with a likely motivation edge as a contender late in September.
Cubs have a slightly better team WHIP at 1.26 vs Miami's 1.29.