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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Rays

Sun, May 17 4:15 PMTropicana FieldPeacock
Final
MIA 3 - 6 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +123·TB -149
Total
7.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
67-65
26-39 road
L
W
W
W
L
Rays
Home
Rays
78-53
43-23 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-157· moderate risk
72%

Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 3.16 ERA) holds a meaningful 1.78-run ERA advantage over Eury Perez (2-5, 4.94 ERA), and Tampa Bay's elite home record (15-5, .700 ATS) against Miami's weak road record (7-13, .450 ATS) creates a multi-layer edge for the Rays.

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Starting Pitchers

Eury Perez
MIA
Eury Perez
(7-9, 3.17)
3.17
ERA
Drew Rasmussen
TB
Drew Rasmussen
(14-5, 2.95)
2.95
ERA

Season Series — MIA 3 - TB 3

MIA 4-1 TB
Jun 7
MIA 4-3 TB
Jun 6
MIA 6-0 TB
Jun 5
MIA 6-3 TB
May 17
MIA 10-5 TB
May 16
MIA 7-2 TB
May 15

Batting

0.249
#8
AVG
0.261
#1
0.728
#9
OPS
0.734
#6
133
#24
HR
135
#23
573
#19
R
587
#14
550
#19
RBI
558
#17
132
#2
SB
128
#4

Pitching

3.90
#9
ERA
3.83
#8
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.160
#2
1075
#18
K
1061
#20
435
#15
BB
329
#1
45
#14
QS
40
#20
30
#22
SV
51
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
8.2
#20
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.233
#8
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.691
#8
74
#10
HLD
99
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-66
Overall ATS
72-59
31-34
Away/Home ATS
36-30
30-32
As Favorite
50-47
36-34
As Underdog
22-12
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.36
R/G
4.51
4.21
RA/G
4.15
0.2
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

MIAPete FairbanksRP
Day-To-Day
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL