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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Rays

Sun, May 17 4:15 PMTropicana FieldPeacock
Final
MIA 3 - 6 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +123·TB -149
Total
7.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
80-82
33-48 road
Rays
Home
Rays
98-64
55-26 home
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-157· moderate risk
72%

Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 3.16 ERA) holds a meaningful 1.78-run ERA advantage over Eury Perez (2-5, 4.94 ERA), and Tampa Bay's elite home record (15-5, .700 ATS) against Miami's weak road record (7-13, .450 ATS) creates a multi-layer edge for the Rays.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Eury Perez
MIA
Eury Perez
(8-11, 3.91)
3.91
ERA
Drew Rasmussen
TB
Drew Rasmussen
(16-5, 2.67)
2.67
ERA

Batting

0.249
#9
AVG
0.208
#4
0.727
#11
OPS
0.599
#10
168
#16
HR
3
#15
715
#12
R
10
#8
685
#11
RBI
9
#8
163
#3
SB
3
#2

Pitching

4.09
#12
ERA
1.67
#8
1.280
#12
WHIP
0.700
#6
1323
#12
K
31
#13
561
#20
BB
7
#9
48
#16
QS
1
#9
35
#16
SV
3
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#16
K/9
10.3
#18
0.235
#11
OPP AVG
0.130
#6
0.697
#10
OPP OPS
0.431
#7
90
#8
HLD
4
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

83-79
Overall ATS
85-77
41-40
Away/Home ATS
42-39
33-38
As Favorite
58-60
50-41
As Underdog
27-17
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-5
7-3
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.41
R/G
4.54
4.40
RA/G
4.01
0.0
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

MIATyler ZuberRP
15-Day-IL
MIAJakob MarseeCF
Out
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
15-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
TBShane McClanahanSP
Out
TBJacob MeltonLF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL