AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Mets @ Phillies

Sun, Jun 21 11:20 PMCitizens Bank ParkNBC
Final
NYM 2 - 6 PHI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
NYM +1.5·PHI -1.5
Moneyline
NYM +149·PHI -181
Total
8
Mets
Away
Mets
40-54
19-29 road
W
W
L
W
W
Phillies
Home
Phillies
52-43
25-21 home
L
W
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-205· moderate risk
72%

Zack Wheeler (6-1, 2.01 ERA) vs David Peterson (3-5, 5.91 ERA) is a 3.90 ERA delta — one of the clearest pitching mismatches you'll see on a given day — but the -205 price demands 67% breakeven and limits this to a LEAN.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

David Peterson
NYM
David Peterson
(4-7, 6.45)
6.45
ERA
Zack Wheeler
PHI
Zack Wheeler
(9-1, 2.28)
2.28
ERA

Season Series — NYM 2 - PHI 4

NYM 5-4 PHI
Jun 28
NYM 6-2 PHI
Jun 27
NYM 2-1 PHI
Jun 26
NYM 6-2 PHI
Jun 21
NYM 15-3 PHI
Jun 20
NYM 6-4 PHI
Jun 18

Batting

0.235
#25
AVG
0.237
#22
0.687
#28
OPS
0.707
#21
110
#15
HR
123
#6
394
#21
R
413
#17
375
#22
RBI
398
#17
44
#25
SB
70
#12

Pitching

4.32
#19
ERA
4.24
#16
1.310
#16
WHIP
1.320
#17
860
#3
K
919
#1
337
#21
BB
271
#6
21
#26
QS
40
#4
16
#29
SV
28
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

9.2
#3
K/9
9.9
#1
0.239
#14
OPP AVG
0.256
#26
0.715
#14
OPP OPS
0.732
#20
36
#27
HLD
38
#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

41-53
Overall ATS
35-60
20-28
Away/Home ATS
18-28
22-38
As Favorite
31-45
19-15
As Underdog
4-15
0-0-9
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: -0.6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

4.19
R/G
4.37
4.79
RA/G
4.55
-0.6
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

NYMClay HolmesSP
60-Day-IL
NYMMark Vientos1B
10-Day-IL
NYMAustin WarrenRP
15-Day-IL
NYMMarcus Semien2B
10-Day-IL
NYMLuis Robert Jr.CF
60-Day-IL
NYMDedniel NunezRP
60-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMJustin HagenmanRP
60-Day-IL
PHIJustin CrawfordCF
Day-To-Day
PHITanner BanksRP
15-Day-IL
PHILou TrivinoRP
15-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL