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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Pirates

Thu, Apr 16 4:35 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 8 - 7 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +139·PIT -169
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
73-82
36-41 road
W
W
L
W
W
Pirates
Home
Pirates
78-77
41-36 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-169· moderate risk
73%

Pittsburgh's team ERA of 3.25 vs Washington's 5.89 represents a 2.64-run gap — the single largest measurable quality difference in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Foster Griffin
WSH
Foster Griffin
(15-5, 3.67)
3.67
ERA
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(14-6, 3.65)
3.65
ERA

Season Series — WSH 3 - PIT 4

WSH 11-5 PIT
Jul 5
WSH 7-1 PIT
Jul 4
WSH 9-5 PIT
Jul 3
WSH 8-7 PIT
Apr 16
WSH 2-0 PIT
Apr 15
WSH 5-4 PIT
Apr 14
WSH 16-5 PIT
Apr 13

Batting

0.247
#11
AVG
0.254
#5
0.748
#3
OPS
0.737
#6
202
#5
HR
179
#12
795
#3
R
744
#5
753
#3
RBI
711
#5
170
#1
SB
128
#8

Pitching

4.66
#27
ERA
4.20
#19
1.390
#27
WHIP
1.300
#18
1219
#25
K
1421
#5
575
#25
BB
562
#22
36
#26
QS
45
#23
38
#18
SV
37
#19

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#24
K/9
9.2
#5
0.253
#25
OPP AVG
0.238
#12
0.753
#26
OPP OPS
0.702
#12
76
#23
HLD
74
#24

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

87-68
Overall ATS
77-78
48-29
Away/Home ATS
38-39
17-16
As Favorite
34-46
70-52
As Underdog
43-32
0-0-9
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

5.13
R/G
4.80
5.04
RA/G
4.62
0.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHMatt WaldronRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
60-Day-IL
WSHOrlando RibaltaRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITKirby YatesRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL