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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Pirates

Thu, Apr 16 4:35 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 8 - 7 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +139·PIT -169
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
51-50
31-19 road
W
W
L
W
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
52-49
27-24 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-169· moderate risk
73%

Pittsburgh's team ERA of 3.25 vs Washington's 5.89 represents a 2.64-run gap — the single largest measurable quality difference in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Foster Griffin
WSH
Foster Griffin
(11-2, 2.68)
2.68
ERA
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(9-4, 3.95)
3.95
ERA

Season Series — WSH 3 - PIT 4

WSH 11-5 PIT
Jul 5
WSH 7-1 PIT
Jul 4
WSH 9-5 PIT
Jul 3
WSH 8-7 PIT
Apr 16
WSH 2-0 PIT
Apr 15
WSH 5-4 PIT
Apr 14
WSH 16-5 PIT
Apr 13

Batting

0.252
#7
AVG
0.263
#1
0.766
#3
OPS
0.768
#2
147
#1
HR
130
#8
552
#1
R
538
#2
526
#1
RBI
514
#2
111
#1
SB
89
#8

Pitching

4.80
#27
ERA
4.30
#20
1.400
#26
WHIP
1.320
#18
798
#23
K
925
#4
355
#20
BB
363
#22
21
#27
QS
33
#15
29
#6
SV
19
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9
#24
K/9
9.2
#4
0.261
#27
OPP AVG
0.240
#16
0.766
#27
OPP OPS
0.714
#13
57
#12
HLD
48
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

60-41
Overall ATS
52-49
36-14
Away/Home ATS
26-25
9-7
As Favorite
27-29
51-34
As Underdog
25-20
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-3
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

5.47
R/G
5.33
5.28
RA/G
4.82
0.2
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
15-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
60-Day-IL
PITSpencer Horwitz1B
10-Day-IL
PITOneil CruzCF
60-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITEvan SiskRP
15-Day-IL