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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Pirates

Thu, Apr 16 4:35 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 8 - 7 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +139·PIT -169
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
31-32
19-12 road
L
L
L
W
W
Pirates
Home
Pirates
34-29
18-15 home
W
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-169· moderate risk
73%

Pittsburgh's team ERA of 3.25 vs Washington's 5.89 represents a 2.64-run gap — the single largest measurable quality difference in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Foster Griffin
WSH
Foster Griffin
(6-2, 3.76)
3.76
ERA
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(5-2, 2.77)
2.77
ERA

Season Series — WSH 2 - PIT 2

WSH 8-7 PIT
Apr 16
WSH 2-0 PIT
Apr 15
WSH 5-4 PIT
Apr 14
WSH 16-5 PIT
Apr 13

Batting

0.243
#13
AVG
0.256
#3
0.734
#6
OPS
0.744
#4
78
#7
HR
74
#10
331
#1
R
325
#4
312
#3
RBI
310
#4
58
#6
SB
62
#3

Pitching

4.71
#26
ERA
4.00
#14
1.390
#23
WHIP
1.260
#12
501
#20
K
576
#5
235
#23
BB
225
#19
11
#29
QS
22
#10
19
#5
SV
13
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9
#25
K/9
9.1
#5
0.254
#27
OPP AVG
0.231
#7
0.757
#24
OPP OPS
0.685
#9
32
#18
HLD
35
#13

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-24
Overall ATS
32-31
24-7
Away/Home ATS
16-17
0-2
As Favorite
19-21
39-22
As Underdog
13-10
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.4
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.6

Scoring

5.25
R/G
5.16
5.41
RA/G
4.57
-0.1
DIFF
0.6

Injury Report

WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
Day-To-Day
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler StuartSP
Day-To-Day
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler BaumDH
Day-To-Day
PITChris DevenskiRP
15-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
10-Day-IL
PITJoey BartC
10-Day-IL
PITAnthony SolometoSP
Day-To-Day
PITOddanier MosquedaRP
Day-To-Day
PITMike ClevingerRP
Day-To-Day
PITSean SullivanSP
Day-To-Day