MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Marlins

Tue, May 5 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV

Final

BAL 9 - 7 MIA

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

BAL +1.5·MIA -1.5

Moneyline

BAL +115·MIA -138

Total

8.5

Away

Orioles

23-29

9-17 road

Home

Marlins

25-29

18-15 home

AI Analysis

LOSTBaltimore Orioles 9, Miami Marlins 7

Marlins ML

-136· moderate risk

Sandy Alcantara's 3.04 ERA vs. Chris Bassitt's 5.46 ERA represents a 2.42-run gap — the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup and a near-automatic lean toward the better starter's team per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

BAL

Chris Bassitt

(4-3, 5.51)

5.51

ERA

MIA

Sandy Alcantara

(3-3, 4.00)

4.00

ERA

Season Series — BAL 2 - MIA 1

BAL 4-3 MIA

May 7

BAL 7-4 MIA

May 6

BAL 9-7 MIA

May 5

Batting

0.236

#19

AVG

0.243

#10

0.708

#14

OPS

0.696

#18

#14

#26

222

#18

227

#15

218

#14

RBI

216

#16

#22

Pitching

4.95

#29

ERA

4.26

#22

1.450

#27

WHIP

1.270

#15

418

#20

446

#12

191

#22

195

#24

#26

#16

#10

#14

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4

#16

K/9

8.6

#13

0.262

#29

OPP AVG

0.227

0.776

#28

OPP OPS

0.682

#11

HLD

#22

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

23-29

Overall ATS

24-30

10-16

Away/Home ATS

15-18

11-18

As Favorite

10-15

12-11

As Underdog

14-15

0-0-3

Over/Under

0-0-2

4-6

Last 10 ATS

5-5

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: -0.2

Avg margin: -1.0

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: +0.1

Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

4.37

R/G

4.28

5.40

RA/G

4.48

-1.0

DIFF

-0.2

Injury Report

BALCoby Mayo3B

Day-To-Day

BALLevi WellsP

Day-To-Day

BALCade PovichSP

15-Day-IL

BALColin SelbyRP

60-Day-IL

BALRyan Mountcastle1B

60-Day-IL

BALJordan Westburg3B

60-Day-IL

BALRyan HelsleyRP

15-Day-IL

BALDylan BeaversRF

10-Day-IL

MIAConnor Norby1B

Day-To-Day

MIARobby SnellingSP

60-Day-IL

MIAThomas WhiteSP

Day-To-Day

MIAKemp AldermanRF

Day-To-Day

MIARonny HenriquezRP

60-Day-IL

MIAJesus TinocoRP

Out

MIAGriffin ConineLF

10-Day-IL

MIAAdam MazurSP

60-Day-IL