MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Marlins

Tue, May 5 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV

Final

BAL 9 - 7 MIA

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

BAL +1.5·MIA -1.5

Moneyline

BAL +115·MIA -138

Total

8.5

Away

Orioles

79-82

40-40 road

Home

Marlins

80-82

47-34 home

AI Analysis

LOSTBaltimore Orioles 9, Miami Marlins 7

Marlins ML

-136· moderate risk

Sandy Alcantara's 3.04 ERA vs. Chris Bassitt's 5.46 ERA represents a 2.42-run gap — the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup and a near-automatic lean toward the better starter's team per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

BAL

Chris Bassitt

(9-5, 4.59)

4.59

ERA

MIA

Sandy Alcantara

(13-11, 3.87)

3.87

ERA

Batting

0.234

#22

AVG

0.249

0.711

#18

OPS

0.727

#11

199

168

#16

718

#11

715

#12

692

#10

RBI

685

#11

#18

163

Pitching

4.08

#11

ERA

4.09

#12

1.340

#18

WHIP

1.280

#12

1305

#15

1323

#12

535

#18

561

#20

#16

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2

#18

K/9

8.3

#16

0.252

#21

OPP AVG

0.235

#11

0.725

#17

OPP OPS

0.697

#10

#12

HLD

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

86-75

Overall ATS

83-79

41-39

Away/Home ATS

42-39

32-43

As Favorite

33-38

54-32

As Underdog

50-41

0-0-5

Over/Under

0-0-5

8-2

Last 10 ATS

7-3

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.1

Avg margin: -0.1

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.2

Scoring

4.46

R/G

4.41

4.59

RA/G

4.40

-0.1

DIFF

0.0

Injury Report

BALJordan Westburg3B

60-Day-IL

BALKyle BradishSP

60-Day-IL

BALBlaze Alexander3B

10-Day-IL

BALTyler O'NeillRF

60-Day-IL

BALJackson Holliday2B

10-Day-IL

BALRyan HelsleyRP

60-Day-IL

BALRyan Mountcastle1B

60-Day-IL

BALLuis Robert Jr.CF

10-Day-IL

MIATyler ZuberRP

15-Day-IL

MIAJakob MarseeCF

Out

MIARobby SnellingSP

60-Day-IL

MIAAdam MazurSP

60-Day-IL

MIAAnthony BenderRP

15-Day-IL

MIAPete FairbanksRP

15-Day-IL

MIAMax MeyerSP

15-Day-IL

MIAOwen CaissieRF

10-Day-IL