MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Marlins

Tue, May 5 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV

Final

BAL 9 - 7 MIA

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

BAL +1.5·MIA -1.5

Moneyline

BAL +115·MIA -138

Total

8.5

Away

Orioles

44-51

18-26 road

Home

Marlins

52-42

31-17 home

AI Analysis

LOSTBaltimore Orioles 9, Miami Marlins 7

Marlins ML

-136· moderate risk

Sandy Alcantara's 3.04 ERA vs. Chris Bassitt's 5.46 ERA represents a 2.42-run gap — the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup and a near-automatic lean toward the better starter's team per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

BAL

Chris Bassitt

(4-4, 5.27)

5.27

ERA

MIA

Sandy Alcantara

(10-4, 4.00)

4.00

ERA

Season Series — BAL 2 - MIA 1

BAL 4-3 MIA

May 7

BAL 7-4 MIA

May 6

BAL 9-7 MIA

May 5

Batting

0.238

#21

AVG

0.255

0.715

#17

OPS

0.745

109

#16

#23

428

#13

434

#10

414

#11

RBI

417

#10

#21

Pitching

4.37

#21

ERA

4.03

#10

1.370

#23

WHIP

1.240

739

#22

789

#13

330

#19

320

#16

#10

#16

#21

#17

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0

#23

K/9

8.6

#14

0.254

#25

OPP AVG

0.228

0.740

#23

OPP OPS

0.681

#14

HLD

#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

46-48

Overall ATS

51-43

20-24

Away/Home ATS

27-21

17-30

As Favorite

21-23

29-18

As Underdog

30-20

0-0-4

Over/Under

0-0-3

3-7

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg margin: -0.3

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.1

Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

4.56

R/G

4.62

4.87

RA/G

4.29

-0.3

DIFF

0.3

Injury Report

BALKeegan AkinRP

15-Day-IL

BALRyan HelsleyRP

15-Day-IL

BALYaramil HiraldoRP

60-Day-IL

BALFelix BautistaRP

60-Day-IL

BALColin SelbyRP

60-Day-IL

BALChris BassittSP

15-Day-IL

BALRyan Mountcastle1B

60-Day-IL

BALJordan Westburg3B

60-Day-IL

MIAOwen CaissieRF

10-Day-IL

MIAJohn KingRP

15-Day-IL

MIAAnthony BenderRP

15-Day-IL

MIAJosh EknessRP

60-Day-IL

MIAAndrew NardiRP

60-Day-IL

MIARobby SnellingSP

60-Day-IL

MIARonny HenriquezRP

60-Day-IL

MIAAdam MazurSP

60-Day-IL