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MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Yankees

Mon, May 4 11:05 PMYankee StadiumMLB.TV
Final
BAL 1 - 12 NYY
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BAL +1.5·NYY -1.5
Moneyline
BAL +189·NYY -232
Total
8.5
Orioles
Away
Orioles
43-51
18-26 road
W
W
L
L
L
Yankees
Home
Yankees
51-42
23-20 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

WONBaltimore Orioles 1, New York Yankees 12
Yankees ML
-246· moderate risk

Cam Schlittler's 1.51 ERA vs Shane Baz's 4.50 ERA is a 2.99-run starter gap — the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Shane Baz
BAL
Shane Baz
(4-9, 4.21)
4.21
ERA
Cam Schlittler
NYY
Cam Schlittler
(9-5, 2.01)
2.01
ERA

Season Series — BAL 2 - NYY 5

BAL 7-0 NYY
May 13
BAL 6-2 NYY
May 12
BAL 3-2 NYY
May 11
BAL 12-1 NYY
May 4
BAL 11-3 NYY
May 3
BAL 9-4 NYY
May 2
BAL 7-2 NYY
May 1

Batting

0.238
#21
AVG
0.235
#25
0.715
#17
OPS
0.737
#7
109
#16
HR
135
#1
428
#13
R
448
#9
414
#11
RBI
427
#9
48
#21
SB
95
#4

Pitching

4.37
#21
ERA
3.41
#2
1.370
#23
WHIP
1.190
#5
739
#22
K
810
#10
330
#19
BB
278
#8
33
#10
QS
36
#6
21
#21
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#23
K/9
8.8
#9
0.254
#25
OPP AVG
0.228
#4
0.740
#23
OPP OPS
0.664
#3
51
#14
HLD
44
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

46-48
Overall ATS
42-51
20-24
Away/Home ATS
18-25
17-30
As Favorite
38-46
29-18
As Underdog
4-5
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-5
3-7
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

4.55
R/G
4.82
4.89
RA/G
3.90
-0.3
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

BALKeegan AkinRP
15-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
15-Day-IL
BALYaramil HiraldoRP
60-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALChris BassittSP
15-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
10-Day-IL
NYYCarlos RodonSP
15-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL