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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Pirates

Fri, May 15 10:40 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
PHI 11 - 9 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
PHI +113·PIT -136
Total
8.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
26-27
12-11 road
L
W
L
L
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
27-26
13-13 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LOSTPhiladelphia Phillies 11, Pittsburgh Pirates 9
Pirates ML
-137· moderate risk

Braxton Ashcraft's 2.77 ERA vs Aaron Nola's 5.14 ERA is a 2.37-run gap — a starter differential that clears the 1.5+ threshold for a significant edge, compounded by Pittsburgh's superior team ERA (3.71 vs 4.36) and WHIP (1.22 vs 1.38).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(2-4, 6.04)
6.04
ERA
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(3-2, 2.89)
2.89
ERA

Season Series — PHI 3 - PIT 0

PHI 6-0 PIT
May 17
PHI 6-0 PIT
May 16
PHI 11-9 PIT
May 15

Batting

0.230
#24
AVG
0.251
#4
0.684
#25
OPS
0.717
#10
62
#9
HR
52
#17
212
#22
R
252
#4
208
#20
RBI
241
#4
41
#12
SB
46
#8

Pitching

4.16
#18
ERA
3.89
#13
1.330
#19
WHIP
1.230
#9
493
#2
K
464
#7
145
#2
BB
184
#16
22
#5
QS
19
#9
13
#14
SV
8
#28

Bullpen & Advanced

9.5
#2
K/9
8.9
#8
0.261
#28
OPP AVG
0.227
#8
0.719
#19
OPP OPS
0.676
#8
17
#27
HLD
29
#14

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

17-36
Overall ATS
27-26
8-15
Away/Home ATS
13-13
14-28
As Favorite
15-17
3-8
As Underdog
12-9
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.3%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.02
R/G
4.83
4.47
RA/G
4.42
-0.5
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

PHIKyle BackhusRP
15-Day-IL
PHIZach PopRP
15-Day-IL
PHIKeaton Anthony1B
Day-To-Day
PHIRene PintoC
Day-To-Day
PHIDaniel RobertRP
Day-To-Day
PHIMax LazarRP
60-Day-IL
PHIAndrew Bechtold3B
Day-To-Day
PHIMark KolozsvaryC
Day-To-Day
PITJared JonesSP
60-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
15-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITJoey BartC
10-Day-IL
PITAnthony SolometoSP
Day-To-Day
PITOddanier MosquedaRP
Day-To-Day
PITMike ClevingerRP
Day-To-Day
PITSean SullivanSP
Day-To-Day