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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Diamondbacks

Thu, May 7 1:40 AMChase FieldMLB.TV
Final
PIT 1 - 0 ARI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT -1.5·ARI +1.5
Moneyline
PIT -132·ARI +109
Total
7.5
Pirates
Away
Pirates
82-80
38-43 road
Diamondbacks
Home
Diamondbacks
86-76
45-36 home

AI Analysis

WONPittsburgh Pirates 1, Arizona Diamondbacks 0
Pirates ML
-143· moderate risk

Paul Skenes (3.18 ERA, 4-2) holds a massive 1.52 ERA advantage over Michael Soroka (4.70 ERA, 4-1), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold that signals a near-automatic lean on the better starter's team.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(10-11, 3.82)
3.82
ERA
Michael Soroka
ARI
Michael Soroka
(9-5, 3.41)
3.41
ERA

Batting

0.253
#8
AVG
0.246
#12
0.734
#8
OPS
0.720
#12
186
#8
HR
166
#18
767
#4
R
739
#6
733
#4
RBI
706
#7
132
#6
SB
103
#11

Pitching

4.15
#14
ERA
4.18
#15
1.300
#16
WHIP
1.280
#12
1496
#4
K
1140
#21
582
#24
BB
483
#12
47
#18
QS
55
#7
41
#12
SV
38
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.3
#8
K/9
7.1
#29
0.237
#12
OPP AVG
0.249
#19
0.699
#12
OPP OPS
0.727
#20
79
#19
HLD
84
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

80-82
Overall ATS
85-77
40-41
Away/Home ATS
44-37
36-50
As Favorite
29-42
44-32
As Underdog
56-35
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-8
6-4
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.73
R/G
4.56
4.56
RA/G
4.51
0.1
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

PITOneil CruzCF
Day-To-Day
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
15-Day-IL
ARITyler Locklear1B
60-Day-IL
ARIRyan ThompsonRP
60-Day-IL
ARIA.J. PukRP
60-Day-IL
ARIAndrew SaalfrankRP
60-Day-IL
ARICristian MenaRP
60-Day-IL