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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Diamondbacks

Thu, May 7 1:40 AMChase FieldMLB.TV
Final
PIT 1 - 0 ARI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT -1.5·ARI +1.5
Moneyline
PIT -132·ARI +109
Total
7.5
Pirates
Away
Pirates
63-69
29-37 road
L
L
L
W
W
Diamondbacks
Home
Diamondbacks
69-63
38-29 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

WONPittsburgh Pirates 1, Arizona Diamondbacks 0
Pirates ML
-143· moderate risk

Paul Skenes (3.18 ERA, 4-2) holds a massive 1.52 ERA advantage over Michael Soroka (4.70 ERA, 4-1), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold that signals a near-automatic lean on the better starter's team.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(9-11, 3.95)
3.95
ERA
Michael Soroka
ARI
Michael Soroka
(8-4, 3.40)
3.40
ERA

Season Series — PIT 3 - ARI 3

PIT 3-0 ARI
Jul 29
PIT 8-7 ARI
Jul 28
PIT 3-2 ARI
Jul 27
PIT 4-2 ARI
May 7
PIT 1-0 ARI
May 7
PIT 9-0 ARI
May 6

Batting

0.254
#3
AVG
0.245
#13
0.738
#4
OPS
0.719
#15
156
#12
HR
129
#26
653
#3
R
598
#11
623
#3
RBI
570
#11
109
#8
SB
89
#14

Pitching

4.29
#22
ERA
4.19
#20
1.320
#19
WHIP
1.290
#14
1226
#3
K
892
#29
487
#25
BB
386
#4
39
#23
QS
47
#10
25
#27
SV
32
#20

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#4
K/9
6.9
#29
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.252
#25
0.711
#13
OPP OPS
0.735
#23
51
#28
HLD
73
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

65-67
Overall ATS
71-61
32-34
Away/Home ATS
37-30
31-38
As Favorite
21-30
34-29
As Underdog
50-31
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-8
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3

Scoring

4.95
R/G
4.53
4.76
RA/G
4.52
0.1
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
ARITommy TroyLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIKetel Marte2B
10-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIZac GallenSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL