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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Diamondbacks

Thu, May 7 1:40 AMChase FieldMLB.TV
Final
PIT 1 - 0 ARI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT -1.5·ARI +1.5
Moneyline
PIT -132·ARI +109
Total
7.5
Pirates
Away
Pirates
47-47
23-23 road
L
L
W
W
W
Diamondbacks
Home
Diamondbacks
46-47
27-20 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

WONPittsburgh Pirates 1, Arizona Diamondbacks 0
Pirates ML
-143· moderate risk

Paul Skenes (3.18 ERA, 4-2) holds a massive 1.52 ERA advantage over Michael Soroka (4.70 ERA, 4-1), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold that signals a near-automatic lean on the better starter's team.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(7-8, 3.58)
3.58
ERA
Michael Soroka
ARI
Michael Soroka
(8-3, 3.07)
3.07
ERA

Season Series — PIT 2 - ARI 1

PIT 4-2 ARI
May 7
PIT 1-0 ARI
May 7
PIT 9-0 ARI
May 6

Batting

0.262
#2
AVG
0.237
#22
0.763
#2
OPS
0.690
#26
120
#7
HR
84
#29
492
#3
R
393
#22
472
#2
RBI
377
#20
88
#5
SB
60
#16

Pitching

4.32
#19
ERA
4.26
#17
1.310
#16
WHIP
1.280
#13
858
#4
K
634
#30
340
#23
BB
267
#5
32
#12
QS
35
#8
17
#28
SV
24
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

9.2
#3
K/9
7.0
#30
0.239
#14
OPP AVG
0.251
#23
0.713
#13
OPP OPS
0.737
#22
43
#23
HLD
50
#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

47-47
Overall ATS
50-43
24-22
Away/Home ATS
26-21
25-27
As Favorite
17-19
22-20
As Underdog
33-24
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.23
4.88
RA/G
4.53
0.3
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITSpencer Horwitz1B
10-Day-IL
PITOneil CruzCF
10-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
10-Day-IL
PITWilber DotelRP
15-Day-IL
PITEvan SiskRP
15-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
60-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIJordan LawlarLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIA.J. PukRP
60-Day-IL
ARICristian MenaRP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIJustin MartinezRP
60-Day-IL