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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Dodgers

Sat, Aug 22 2:10 AMDodger StadiumMLB.TV
Final
PIT 4 - 5 LAD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT +1.5·LAD -1.5
Moneyline
PIT +212·LAD -229
Total
8
Pirates
Away
Pirates
82-80
38-43 road
Dodgers
Home
Dodgers
100-62
51-30 home
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-245· moderate risk
72%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's 2.60 ERA vs Bubba Chandler's 4.23 ERA represents a 1.63-run advantage — the dominant MLB signal — but LAD's -245 price requires 71% implied probability, making this a LEAN rather than a PICK.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Bubba Chandler
PIT
Bubba Chandler
(8-10, 4.62)
4.62
ERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(14-9, 2.53)
2.53
ERA

Batting

0.253
#8
AVG
0.203
#6
0.734
#8
OPS
0.655
#3
186
#8
HR
8
#3
767
#4
R
14
#3
733
#4
RBI
13
#3
132
#6
SB
3
#21

Pitching

4.15
#14
ERA
2.00
#6
1.300
#16
WHIP
1.000
#6
1496
#4
K
39
#3
582
#24
BB
18
#11
47
#18
QS
2
#1
41
#12
SV
3
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

9.3
#8
K/9
9.8
#5
0.237
#12
OPP AVG
0.145
#4
0.699
#12
OPP OPS
0.501
#4
79
#19
HLD
2
#5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

80-82
Overall ATS
71-91
40-41
Away/Home ATS
32-49
36-50
As Favorite
67-89
44-32
As Underdog
4-2
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-6
6-4
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.4
Avg margin: +1.2

Scoring

4.73
R/G
4.94
4.56
RA/G
3.70
0.1
DIFF
1.2

Injury Report

PITOneil CruzCF
Day-To-Day
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL
LADBlake TreinenRP
15-Day-IL
LADWill KleinRP
60-Day-IL
LADEric LauerSP
60-Day-IL
LADGavin StoneSP
60-Day-IL
LADJake CousinsRP
60-Day-IL
LADBen CaspariusRP
60-Day-IL
LADBrusdar GraterolRP
60-Day-IL