All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Date
Sat, Aug 22
Time
2:10 AM
Venue
Dodger Stadium
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-245
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-245 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Yamamoto's elite ERA and LAD's superior pitching infrastructure point clearly to the Dodgers winning, but the -245 price demands 80+ confidence to justify as a PICK — this is a LEAN only.
Key Factors
Yamamoto (12-7, 2.60 ERA) holds a 1.63 ERA edge over Chandler (6-8, 4.23 ERA), crossing the 1.5+ threshold flagged as a significant starting pitcher edge
Dodgers own a superior team ERA (3.70 vs PIT 4.29) and WHIP (1.17 vs 1.32), indicating a deeper, more reliable pitching staff beyond the starter
LAD's home record is 37-26 SU (.587) vs PIT's road record of 29-34 (.461), a meaningful home/road split advantage
Dodgers' Opp OPS allowed (0.665) is dramatically better than Pirates' Opp OPS allowed (0.714), reflecting a superior run-prevention unit overall