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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Dodgers

Sat, Aug 22 11:15 PMDodger StadiumMLB.TV
Final
PIT 3 - 4 LAD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT +1.5·LAD -1.5
Moneyline
PIT +234·LAD -254
Total
7.5
Pirates
Away
Pirates
63-69
29-37 road
L
L
L
W
W
Dodgers
Home
Dodgers
80-51
40-26 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-253· moderate risk
68%

Tarik Skubal's 2.85 ERA vs Jared Jones's 4.78 ERA is a 1.93-run advantage — the single dominant MLB signal — but the -253 price demands 72% implied probability, making this a LEAN rather than a PICK.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jared Jones
PIT
Jared Jones
(2-5, 4.76)
4.76
ERA
Tarik Skubal
LAD
Tarik Skubal
(8-7, 2.91)
2.91
ERA

Season Series — PIT 1 - LAD 5

PIT 4-0 LAD
Aug 23
PIT 4-3 LAD
Aug 22
PIT 5-4 LAD
Aug 22
PIT 8-6 LAD
Jun 11
PIT 9-8 LAD
Jun 10
PIT 12-3 LAD
Jun 9

Batting

0.255
#3
AVG
0.259
#2
0.741
#4
OPS
0.763
#1
156
#12
HR
167
#7
653
#3
R
649
#4
623
#3
RBI
614
#4
108
#8
SB
51
#28

Pitching

4.29
#22
ERA
3.70
#6
1.320
#19
WHIP
1.160
#2
1220
#3
K
1183
#5
483
#24
BB
404
#10
39
#22
QS
69
#1
25
#27
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#4
K/9
9.2
#5
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.218
#1
0.712
#15
OPP OPS
0.664
#3
51
#28
HLD
86
#5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

65-67
Overall ATS
55-76
32-34
Away/Home ATS
24-42
31-38
As Favorite
52-74
34-29
As Underdog
3-2
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.4
Avg margin: +1.2

Scoring

4.95
R/G
4.98
4.76
RA/G
3.83
0.1
DIFF
1.2

Injury Report

PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
LADWill SmithC
60-Day-IL
LADJake CousinsRP
60-Day-IL
LADAndy PagesCF
10-Day-IL
LADJustin WrobleskiSP
15-Day-IL
LADEdwin DiazRP
15-Day-IL
LADTyler GlasnowSP
60-Day-IL
LADWill KleinRP
15-Day-IL
LADGavin StoneSP
60-Day-IL