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MLB Matchup

Rangers @ Yankees

Thu, May 7 4:35 PMYankee StadiumESPN Unlmtd
Final
TEX 2 - 9 NYY
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TEX +1.5·NYY -1.5
Moneyline
TEX +131·NYY -158
Total
8.5
Rangers
Away
Rangers
47-46
25-25 road
W
L
W
L
L
Yankees
Home
Yankees
51-42
23-20 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-149· moderate risk
72%

Yankees hold a commanding +2.0 run differential advantage over Texas's flat 0.0, backed by a superior team OPS (.786 vs .690), better ERA (3.07 vs 3.69), and a 25-12 record at home — but Gore vs Blackburn ERA gap (1.46) is meaningful without full splits to fully trust it at PICK level.

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Starting Pitchers

MacKenzie Gore
TEX
MacKenzie Gore
(5-8, 4.72)
4.72
ERA
Paul Blackburn
NYY
Paul Blackburn
(2-1, 2.31)
2.31
ERA

Season Series — TEX 2 - NYY 4

TEX 9-2 NYY
May 7
TEX 6-1 NYY
May 6
TEX 7-4 NYY
May 5
TEX 3-0 NYY
Apr 29
TEX 3-2 NYY
Apr 29
TEX 4-2 NYY
Apr 28

Batting

0.244
#13
AVG
0.235
#25
0.714
#18
OPS
0.737
#7
103
#21
HR
135
#1
383
#25
R
448
#9
368
#24
RBI
427
#9
45
#23
SB
95
#4

Pitching

4.08
#12
ERA
3.41
#2
1.250
#10
WHIP
1.190
#5
798
#12
K
810
#10
266
#4
BB
278
#8
30
#16
QS
36
#6
28
#4
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

8.8
#9
K/9
8.8
#9
0.241
#16
OPP AVG
0.228
#4
0.704
#12
OPP OPS
0.664
#3
45
#18
HLD
44
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

43-50
Overall ATS
42-51
22-28
Away/Home ATS
18-25
18-32
As Favorite
38-46
25-18
As Underdog
4-5
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

4.12
R/G
4.82
4.27
RA/G
3.90
-0.2
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

TEXJacob deGromSP
Day-To-Day
TEXCody BradfordSP
60-Day-IL
TEXDanny JansenC
10-Day-IL
TEXJakob JunisRP
15-Day-IL
TEXJalen BeeksRP
15-Day-IL
TEXCorey SeagerSS
10-Day-IL
TEXJordan MontgomerySP
60-Day-IL
TEXCody Freeman3B
10-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
10-Day-IL
NYYCarlos RodonSP
15-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL