AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Rays @ Pirates

Sat, Apr 18 7:30 PMPNC ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
TB 8 - 7 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TB +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
TB +133·PIT -161
Total
7.5
Rays
Away
Rays
57-42
22-27 road
W
L
L
L
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
52-49
27-24 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-171· moderate risk
74%

Paul Skenes anchors a Pirates staff with a dominant 3.16 team ERA vs Tampa Bay's 4.44, while Pittsburgh's .647 opponent OPS is the best team-level pitching suppression number in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Drew Rasmussen
TB
Drew Rasmussen
(7-5, 3.26)
3.26
ERA
Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(9-8, 3.43)
3.43
ERA

Season Series — TB 1 - PIT 2

TB 6-3 PIT
Apr 19
TB 8-7 PIT
Apr 18
TB 5-1 PIT
Apr 17

Batting

0.258
#3
AVG
0.263
#1
0.734
#10
OPS
0.768
#2
101
#25
HR
130
#8
442
#16
R
538
#2
419
#18
RBI
514
#2
96
#7
SB
89
#8

Pitching

3.88
#9
ERA
4.30
#20
1.180
#4
WHIP
1.320
#18
791
#24
K
925
#4
266
#2
BB
363
#22
30
#20
QS
33
#15
37
#1
SV
19
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#22
K/9
9.2
#4
0.234
#7
OPP AVG
0.240
#16
0.697
#9
OPP OPS
0.714
#13
76
#2
HLD
48
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

57-42
Overall ATS
52-49
24-25
Away/Home ATS
26-25
37-31
As Favorite
27-29
20-11
As Underdog
25-20
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.46
R/G
5.33
4.26
RA/G
4.82
0.2
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

TBJesse ScholtensRP
15-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
10-Day-IL
TBSteven WilsonRP
60-Day-IL
TBSteven MatzSP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBManuel RodriguezRP
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
60-Day-IL
PITSpencer Horwitz1B
10-Day-IL
PITOneil CruzCF
60-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITEvan SiskRP
15-Day-IL