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MLB Matchup

Rays @ Pirates

Sun, Apr 19 5:35 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
TB 3 - 6 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TB +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
TB -105·PIT -115
Total
8
Rays
Away
Rays
95-60
40-34 road
W
W
L
W
W
Pirates
Home
Pirates
78-77
41-36 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-115· moderate risk
72%

Mitch Keller's 2.86 ERA vs. Shane McClanahan's 3.95 ERA gives Pittsburgh a meaningful starting pitching edge, backed by the Pirates' superior team ERA (3.23 vs. 4.37) and opponent OPS allowed (0.655 vs. 0.690).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Shane McClanahan
TB
Shane McClanahan
(10-7, 3.36)
3.36
ERA
Mitch Keller
PIT
Mitch Keller
(6-8, 5.29)
5.29
ERA

Season Series — TB 1 - PIT 2

TB 6-3 PIT
Apr 19
TB 8-7 PIT
Apr 18
TB 5-1 PIT
Apr 17

Batting

0.259
#1
AVG
0.254
#5
0.732
#7
OPS
0.737
#6
163
#21
HR
179
#12
702
#11
R
744
#5
667
#14
RBI
711
#5
158
#3
SB
128
#8

Pitching

3.72
#7
ERA
4.20
#19
1.140
#1
WHIP
1.300
#18
1252
#20
K
1421
#5
383
#1
BB
562
#22
52
#13
QS
45
#23
57
#1
SV
37
#19

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#20
K/9
9.2
#5
0.229
#4
OPP AVG
0.238
#12
0.677
#4
OPP OPS
0.702
#12
111
#1
HLD
74
#24

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

81-73
Overall ATS
77-78
40-34
Away/Home ATS
38-39
57-60
As Favorite
34-46
24-13
As Underdog
43-32
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-7
4-6
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.56
R/G
4.80
4.03
RA/G
4.62
0.6
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

TBGarrett CleavingerRP
15-Day-IL
TBTyler WellsRP
15-Day-IL
TBShane McClanahanSP
15-Day-IL
TBManuel RodriguezRP
15-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITKirby YatesRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL