All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Tampa Bay Rays
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Sun, Apr 19
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Pirates ML
Odds
-115
Risk
MOD
PICK
Pirates ML
-115 · 1 Unit
72%
✅ Winner
Tampa Bay Rays 3, Pittsburgh Pirates 6
+86.96u
The Edge
Pittsburgh's superior starting pitching (Keller 2.86 ERA), better team ERA (3.23), and home-field advantage at a slight favorite price (-115) provide enough of a directional edge to back the Pirates ML.
Key Factors
Mitch Keller ERA 2.86 vs. McClanahan 3.95 — nearly a full run differential favoring the Pirates starter
Pirates team ERA 3.23 vs. Rays 4.37 — Pittsburgh's pitching staff is significantly better on the season
Pirates opponent OPS allowed 0.655 vs. Rays 0.690 — Pittsburgh suppresses opposing offenses more effectively
Pittsburgh +1.3 run differential edge over Tampa Bay (+1.1 vs. -0.2) and home record 7-5 (.583) ATS