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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Cubs

Tue, May 5 11:40 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 2 - 3 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +137·CHC -166
Total
8
Reds
Away
Reds
42-50
21-24 road
L
W
L
W
L
Cubs
Home
Cubs
52-41
27-19 home
L
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-168· moderate risk
72%

Chicago holds a commanding team quality advantage with a +1.9 run differential edge, a .657 win percentage vs Cincinnati's .571, a superior team ERA (3.89 vs 4.52), and a dominant WHIP gap (1.19 vs 1.50), all backed by a 6-game win streak at home where they are 15-5 SU this season.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(5-5, 3.92)
3.92
ERA
Jameson Taillon
CHC
Jameson Taillon
(2-5, 5.19)
5.19
ERA

Season Series — CIN 0 - CHC 4

CIN 8-3 CHC
May 7
CIN 7-6 CHC
May 6
CIN 3-2 CHC
May 5
CIN 5-4 CHC
May 4

Batting

0.227
#29
AVG
0.244
#13
0.698
#24
OPS
0.749
#5
113
#12
HR
118
#9
384
#24
R
471
#5
365
#26
RBI
439
#5
64
#15
SB
67
#13

Pitching

4.53
#23
ERA
4.35
#20
1.450
#28
WHIP
1.270
#12
738
#23
K
726
#25
413
#29
BB
291
#10
28
#20
QS
24
#23
21
#21
SV
18
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#22
K/9
7.9
#24
0.248
#20
OPP AVG
0.244
#18
0.763
#27
OPP OPS
0.737
#22
51
#14
HLD
33
#29

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

49-43
Overall ATS
40-53
26-19
Away/Home ATS
17-29
15-13
As Favorite
25-44
34-30
As Underdog
15-9
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.17
R/G
5.06
4.80
RA/G
4.53
-0.6
DIFF
0.6

Injury Report

CINMatt McLain2B
10-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
10-Day-IL
CINDane MyersCF
10-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
15-Day-IL
CHCJameson TaillonSP
15-Day-IL
CHCEdward CabreraSP
15-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCEthan RobertsRP
15-Day-IL
CHCDaniel PalenciaRP
15-Day-IL
CHCHoby MilnerRP
15-Day-IL