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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Cubs

Tue, May 5 11:40 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 2 - 3 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +137·CHC -166
Total
8
Reds
Away
Reds
75-87
37-44 road
Cubs
Home
Cubs
89-73
46-35 home
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-168· moderate risk
72%

Chicago holds a commanding team quality advantage with a +1.9 run differential edge, a .657 win percentage vs Cincinnati's .571, a superior team ERA (3.89 vs 4.52), and a dominant WHIP gap (1.19 vs 1.50), all backed by a 6-game win streak at home where they are 15-5 SU this season.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(6-11, 4.61)
4.61
ERA
Jameson Taillon
CHC
Jameson Taillon
(2-6, 5.65)
5.65
ERA

Batting

0.229
#27
AVG
0.129
#29
0.699
#21
OPS
0.374
#30
213
#1
HR
0
#30
666
#19
R
1
#30
635
#20
RBI
1
#30
112
#9
SB
1
#27

Pitching

4.83
#24
ERA
6.19
#29
1.440
#25
WHIP
1.500
#27
1293
#16
K
13
#30
668
#30
BB
3
#3
49
#14
QS
0
#27
42
#10
SV
0
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#21
K/9
7.3
#28
0.254
#24
OPP AVG
0.328
#29
0.770
#25
OPP OPS
0.925
#29
89
#9
HLD
0
#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

82-80
Overall ATS
0-2
44-37
Away/Home ATS
0-0
19-25
As Favorite
0-0
63-55
As Underdog
0-2
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0
6-4
Last 10 ATS
0-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -1.0
ATS Win%
0.0%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -5.5

Scoring

4.11
R/G
5.25
5.10
RA/G
4.34
-1.0
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

CINSpencer Steer1B
60-Day-IL
CINDane MyersCF
Out
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
CINChase BurnsSP
15-Day-IL
CINJulian GarciaRP
15-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCShelby MillerRP
60-Day-IL
CHCBen BrownRP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCPorter HodgeRP
60-Day-IL
CHCCade HortonSP
60-Day-IL