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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Rays

Tue, Apr 21 10:40 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 12 - 6 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN -1.5·TB +1.5
Moneyline
CIN -110·TB -110
Total
7.5
Reds
Away
Reds
37-41
18-20 road
L
L
W
W
L
Rays
Home
Rays
43-33
26-12 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-112· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns (2.42 ERA) holds a significant ERA advantage over Steven Matz (3.80 ERA) while Cincinnati carries an elite 9-2 (.818) ATS road record and a 4-game win streak including a 6-1 win in this exact matchup yesterday.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(9-1, 2.00)
2.00
ERA
Steven Matz
TB
Steven Matz
(4-4, 6.28)
6.28
ERA

Season Series — CIN 2 - TB 1

CIN 6-1 TB
Apr 22
CIN 12-6 TB
Apr 21
CIN 6-1 TB
Apr 20

Batting

0.225
#29
AVG
0.256
#3
0.694
#25
OPS
0.716
#17
96
#12
HR
63
#30
326
#23
R
333
#18
308
#24
RBI
318
#21
59
#12
SB
70
#8

Pitching

4.49
#24
ERA
3.94
#11
1.450
#29
WHIP
1.230
#6
622
#24
K
600
#27
352
#28
BB
222
#4
24
#19
QS
24
#19
18
#20
SV
30
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#22
K/9
8.0
#22
0.248
#20
OPP AVG
0.239
#13
0.759
#26
OPP OPS
0.703
#13
48
#9
HLD
55
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

42-36
Overall ATS
43-33
23-15
Away/Home ATS
24-14
13-12
As Favorite
25-25
29-24
As Underdog
18-8
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-4
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.6
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.5

Scoring

4.18
R/G
4.38
4.81
RA/G
4.38
-0.6
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

CINNick LodoloSP
Day-To-Day
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINCarson SpiersSP
Out
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBManuel RodriguezRP
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBSteven WilsonRP
60-Day-IL
TBJesse ScholtensRP
15-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
10-Day-IL
TBAustin VernonRP
Day-To-Day