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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Rays

Tue, Apr 21 10:40 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 12 - 6 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
CIN -110·TB -110
Total
7.5
Reds
Away
Reds
62-69
30-33 road
L
W
L
L
W
Rays
Home
Rays
77-53
43-23 home
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-112· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns (2.42 ERA) holds a significant ERA advantage over Steven Matz (3.80 ERA) while Cincinnati carries an elite 9-2 (.818) ATS road record and a 4-game win streak including a 6-1 win in this exact matchup yesterday.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(14-2, 2.51)
2.51
ERA
Steven Matz
TB
Steven Matz
(5-4, 6.17)
6.17
ERA

Season Series — CIN 2 - TB 1

CIN 6-1 TB
Apr 22
CIN 12-6 TB
Apr 21
CIN 6-1 TB
Apr 20

Batting

0.227
#30
AVG
0.261
#1
0.699
#24
OPS
0.735
#6
169
#6
HR
135
#22
534
#24
R
584
#13
510
#25
RBI
556
#16
89
#13
SB
128
#4

Pitching

4.51
#24
ERA
3.85
#8
1.410
#28
WHIP
1.170
#3
1047
#21
K
1056
#19
539
#30
BB
329
#1
44
#16
QS
39
#22
33
#16
SV
50
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#21
K/9
8.3
#19
0.248
#21
OPP AVG
0.234
#8
0.747
#26
OPP OPS
0.694
#9
73
#10
HLD
97
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

67-64
Overall ATS
71-59
35-28
Away/Home ATS
36-30
19-22
As Favorite
49-47
48-42
As Underdog
22-12
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
1-9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

4.10
R/G
4.52
4.82
RA/G
4.18
-0.7
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

CINMichael Toglia1B
10-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL