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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Rays

Tue, Apr 21 10:40 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 12 - 6 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
CIN -110·TB -110
Total
7.5
Reds
Away
Reds
75-87
37-44 road
Rays
Home
Rays
98-64
55-26 home
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-112· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns (2.42 ERA) holds a significant ERA advantage over Steven Matz (3.80 ERA) while Cincinnati carries an elite 9-2 (.818) ATS road record and a 4-game win streak including a 6-1 win in this exact matchup yesterday.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(15-3, 2.86)
2.86
ERA
Steven Matz
TB
Steven Matz
(6-6, 5.49)
5.49
ERA

Batting

0.229
#27
AVG
0.208
#4
0.699
#21
OPS
0.599
#10
213
#1
HR
3
#15
666
#19
R
10
#8
635
#20
RBI
9
#8
112
#9
SB
3
#2

Pitching

4.83
#24
ERA
1.67
#8
1.440
#25
WHIP
0.700
#6
1293
#16
K
31
#13
668
#30
BB
7
#9
49
#14
QS
1
#9
42
#10
SV
3
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#21
K/9
10.3
#18
0.254
#24
OPP AVG
0.130
#6
0.770
#25
OPP OPS
0.431
#7
89
#9
HLD
4
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

82-80
Overall ATS
85-77
44-37
Away/Home ATS
42-39
19-25
As Favorite
58-60
63-55
As Underdog
27-17
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-5
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -1.0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.11
R/G
4.54
5.10
RA/G
4.01
-1.0
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

CINSpencer Steer1B
60-Day-IL
CINDane MyersCF
Out
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
CINChase BurnsSP
15-Day-IL
CINJulian GarciaRP
15-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
TBShane McClanahanSP
Out
TBJacob MeltonLF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL