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MLB Matchup

Rockies @ Pirates

Tue, May 12 10:40 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
COL 1 - 3 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
COL +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
COL +238·PIT -299
Total
7.5
Rockies
Away
Rockies
50-81
23-43 road
L
L
L
L
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
64-69
34-32 home
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-349· moderate risk
72%

Paul Skenes (2.36 ERA, 5-2) vs Michael Lorenzen (6.92 ERA, 2-4) is a massive 4.56-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Michael Lorenzen
COL
Michael Lorenzen
(3-11, 7.08)
7.08
ERA
Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(9-11, 3.95)
3.95
ERA

Season Series — COL 3 - PIT 3

COL 8-6 PIT
Jun 21
COL 2-1 PIT
Jun 21
COL 4-3 PIT
Jun 20
COL 7-2 PIT
May 14
COL 10-4 PIT
May 13
COL 3-1 PIT
May 12

Batting

0.252
#5
AVG
0.253
#4
0.738
#4
OPS
0.736
#5
146
#18
HR
157
#12
620
#6
R
656
#3
596
#6
RBI
626
#3
89
#15
SB
111
#8

Pitching

5.59
#30
ERA
4.26
#22
1.530
#30
WHIP
1.320
#19
886
#30
K
1236
#3
431
#12
BB
493
#26
21
#30
QS
40
#22
29
#23
SV
26
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

6.9
#29
K/9
9.4
#4
0.289
#30
OPP AVG
0.239
#13
0.843
#30
OPP OPS
0.709
#13
50
#29
HLD
52
#28

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

68-63
Overall ATS
65-68
36-30
Away/Home ATS
33-33
2-0
As Favorite
31-39
66-63
As Underdog
34-29
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -1.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.73
R/G
4.93
5.85
RA/G
4.74
-1.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

COLEzequiel TovarSS
Day-To-Day
COLKyle FreelandSP
15-Day-IL
COLJose QuintanaSP
60-Day-IL
COLHunter GoodmanC
10-Day-IL
COLChase DollanderSP
60-Day-IL
COLWelinton HerreraRP
60-Day-IL
COLMcCade BrownSP
60-Day-IL
COLRJ PetitRP
60-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL