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MLB Matchup

Rockies @ Pirates

Tue, May 12 10:40 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
COL 1 - 3 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
COL +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
COL +238·PIT -299
Total
7.5
Rockies
Away
Rockies
58-104
26-55 road
Pirates
Home
Pirates
82-80
44-37 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-349· moderate risk
72%

Paul Skenes (2.36 ERA, 5-2) vs Michael Lorenzen (6.92 ERA, 2-4) is a massive 4.56-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Michael Lorenzen
COL
Michael Lorenzen
(3-13, 7.21)
7.21
ERA
Paul Skenes
PIT
Paul Skenes
(10-11, 3.82)
3.82
ERA

Batting

0.254
#7
AVG
0.253
#8
0.739
#7
OPS
0.734
#8
180
#12
HR
186
#8
752
#5
R
767
#4
721
#5
RBI
733
#4
109
#10
SB
132
#6

Pitching

5.59
#28
ERA
4.15
#14
1.520
#29
WHIP
1.300
#16
1113
#22
K
1496
#4
531
#17
BB
582
#24
24
#22
QS
47
#18
33
#18
SV
41
#12

Bullpen & Advanced

7.0
#30
K/9
9.3
#8
0.288
#28
OPP AVG
0.237
#12
0.842
#28
OPP OPS
0.699
#12
61
#22
HLD
79
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

83-79
Overall ATS
80-82
41-40
Away/Home ATS
40-41
2-0
As Favorite
36-50
81-79
As Underdog
44-32
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-7
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -1.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.64
R/G
4.73
5.83
RA/G
4.56
-1.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

COLWilli Castro2B
10-Day-IL
COLChase DollanderSP
60-Day-IL
COLWelinton HerreraRP
60-Day-IL
COLMcCade BrownSP
60-Day-IL
COLRJ PetitRP
60-Day-IL
COLPierson OhlRP
60-Day-IL
COLKris BryantDH
60-Day-IL
PITOneil CruzCF
Day-To-Day
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL