AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Braves

Wed, Apr 29 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 3 - 4 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET -1.5·ATL +1.5
Moneyline
DET -143·ATL +119
Total
8
Tigers
Away
Tigers
61-70
29-38 road
L
L
L
L
L
Braves
Home
Braves
76-55
42-23 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
+123· moderate risk
72%

Atlanta holds a commanding +2.0 run differential edge over Detroit, backs it with an 8-2 ATS run last 10, and is 11-5 at home against a Tigers squad that is a dismal 5-13 on the road — yet the market inexplicably lists Detroit as the -149 favorite.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(8-7, 2.91)
2.91
ERA
JR Ritchie
ATL
JR Ritchie
(1-2, 4.50)
4.50
ERA

Season Series — DET 1 - ATL 2

DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 30
DET 4-3 ATL
Apr 29
DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 28

Batting

0.242
#18
AVG
0.246
#11
0.723
#12
OPS
0.722
#14
154
#14
HR
168
#7
587
#14
R
614
#8
560
#16
RBI
588
#8
38
#30
SB
65
#24

Pitching

3.62
#5
ERA
3.60
#4
1.220
#6
WHIP
1.250
#9
1063
#19
K
1112
#12
400
#9
BB
445
#17
48
#9
QS
49
#8
26
#26
SV
40
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#19
K/9
8.6
#14
0.232
#7
OPP AVG
0.231
#5
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.686
#7
60
#24
HLD
94
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-65
Overall ATS
70-61
32-35
Away/Home ATS
36-29
31-46
As Favorite
46-51
35-19
As Underdog
24-10
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-6
2-8
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.49
R/G
4.69
3.95
RA/G
3.85
0.5
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

DETRiley GreeneLF
10-Day-IL
DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
10-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL