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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Guardians

Sun, May 10 5:40 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIN 5 - 4 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +135·CLE -163
Total
7
Twins
Away
Twins
77-85
35-46 road
Guardians
Home
Guardians
85-77
41-40 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LOSTMinnesota Twins 5, Cleveland Guardians 4
Guardians ML
-168· moderate risk

Gavin Williams (5-2, 3.28 ERA) holds a 1.68-run ERA advantage over Andrew Morris (1-1, 4.96 ERA), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge, anchored by Cleveland's superior team ERA (3.91 vs 4.64) and elite home ATS record.

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Starting Pitchers

MIN
Andrew Morris
(4-8, 4.40)
4.40
ERA
Gavin Williams
CLE
Gavin Williams
(14-8, 3.76)
3.76
ERA

Batting

0.245
#14
AVG
0.213
#19
0.720
#12
OPS
0.680
#22
187
#7
HR
3
#19
739
#6
R
23
#16
707
#6
RBI
22
#16
91
#14
SB
3
#5

Pitching

4.56
#21
ERA
3.00
#9
1.360
#22
WHIP
1.110
#9
1381
#9
K
75
#2
581
#22
BB
21
#16
54
#9
QS
0
#5
45
#8
SV
1
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#13
K/9
15.0
#3
0.249
#19
OPP AVG
0.185
#13
0.734
#22
OPP OPS
0.558
#12
110
#3
HLD
7
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

85-77
Overall ATS
82-80
43-38
Away/Home ATS
37-44
16-34
As Favorite
34-59
69-43
As Underdog
48-21
0-0-12
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.56
R/G
4.19
4.92
RA/G
4.12
-0.3
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MINWalker JenkinsCF
Out
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINJeff HoffmanRP
15-Day-IL
MINTrevor LarnachLF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
CLEColin HoldermanRP
15-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL
CLEAndrew WaltersRP
Out