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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Guardians

Sun, May 10 5:40 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIN 5 - 4 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +135·CLE -163
Total
7
Twins
Away
Twins
46-48
22-24 road
L
W
W
W
W
Guardians
Home
Guardians
48-46
24-22 home
W
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LOSTMinnesota Twins 5, Cleveland Guardians 4
Guardians ML
-168· moderate risk

Gavin Williams (5-2, 3.28 ERA) holds a 1.68-run ERA advantage over Andrew Morris (1-1, 4.96 ERA), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge, anchored by Cleveland's superior team ERA (3.91 vs 4.64) and elite home ATS record.

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Starting Pitchers

MIN
Andrew Morris
(4-2, 3.64)
3.64
ERA
Gavin Williams
CLE
Gavin Williams
(10-4, 3.81)
3.81
ERA

Season Series — MIN 4 - CLE 2

MIN 5-2 CLE
Jul 9
MIN 6-5 CLE
Jul 8
MIN 3-1 CLE
Jul 7
MIN 5-4 CLE
May 10
MIN 2-1 CLE
May 9
MIN 6-4 CLE
May 8

Batting

0.247
#10
AVG
0.228
#28
0.736
#8
OPS
0.679
#29
118
#9
HR
90
#26
459
#6
R
373
#28
437
#8
RBI
356
#28
55
#19
SB
85
#8

Pitching

4.68
#25
ERA
3.78
#8
1.370
#23
WHIP
1.270
#12
781
#15
K
849
#5
340
#23
BB
310
#14
34
#9
QS
32
#12
25
#12
SV
30
#2

Bullpen & Advanced

8.5
#17
K/9
9.2
#3
0.251
#23
OPP AVG
0.238
#10
0.744
#24
OPP OPS
0.702
#11
62
#4
HLD
75
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-44
Overall ATS
49-45
25-21
Away/Home ATS
24-22
7-18
As Favorite
15-31
43-26
As Underdog
34-14
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.88
R/G
3.97
5.06
RA/G
4.06
-0.2
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINConnor PrielippSP
15-Day-IL
MINMarco RayaRP
15-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
CLETim HerrinRP
15-Day-IL
CLEJose Ramirez3B
10-Day-IL
CLEAngel MartinezLF
10-Day-IL