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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Guardians

Sun, May 10 5:40 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIN 5 - 4 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +135·CLE -163
Total
7
Twins
Away
Twins
64-68
29-37 road
W
L
L
L
W
Guardians
Home
Guardians
66-66
31-34 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LOSTMinnesota Twins 5, Cleveland Guardians 4
Guardians ML
-168· moderate risk

Gavin Williams (5-2, 3.28 ERA) holds a 1.68-run ERA advantage over Andrew Morris (1-1, 4.96 ERA), meeting the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge, anchored by Cleveland's superior team ERA (3.91 vs 4.64) and elite home ATS record.

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Starting Pitchers

MIN
Andrew Morris
(4-5, 3.41)
3.41
ERA
Gavin Williams
CLE
Gavin Williams
(12-7, 3.72)
3.72
ERA

Season Series — MIN 6 - CLE 4

MIN 3-1 CLE
Jul 23
MIN 10-6 CLE
Jul 22
MIN 5-2 CLE
Jul 21
MIN 13-4 CLE
Jul 20
MIN 5-2 CLE
Jul 9
MIN 6-5 CLE
Jul 8
MIN 3-1 CLE
Jul 7
MIN 5-4 CLE
May 10
MIN 2-1 CLE
May 9
MIN 6-4 CLE
May 8

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.235
#26
0.723
#12
OPS
0.684
#29
151
#15
HR
123
#29
600
#9
R
527
#26
572
#10
RBI
504
#26
74
#18
SB
126
#5

Pitching

4.66
#26
ERA
3.75
#7
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.260
#11
1081
#17
K
1223
#4
481
#22
BB
432
#13
43
#17
QS
46
#12
37
#9
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
9.5
#3
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.237
#10
0.744
#25
OPP OPS
0.702
#11
89
#4
HLD
98
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-62
Overall ATS
68-64
36-30
Away/Home ATS
32-33
12-26
As Favorite
25-46
58-36
As Underdog
43-18
0-0-11
Over/Under
0-0-1
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.61
R/G
4.02
5.00
RA/G
4.08
-0.4
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
CLEChase DeLauterRF
Day-To-Day
CLESlade CecconiSP
15-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL
CLEShawn ArmstrongRP
60-Day-IL