All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Boston Red Sox
Date
Wed, Jun 17
Time
10:45 PM
Venue
Fenway Park
Spread
Blue Jays ML
Odds
+108
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Blue Jays ML
+108 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Toronto at plus money with a superior record, dominant recent head-to-head results, and a historically poor Boston home ATS mark provides a slim but real directional lean — not enough edges to call a PICK, but enough to lean the Blue Jays ML.
Key Factors
Toronto is +108 moneyline underdogs despite holding a superior overall record (35-38 vs 29-41) and higher win percentage (.479 vs .414)
Boston is 12-23 (.343) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league and a clear fade signal
Toronto has dominated this head-to-head series 3-1 in 2025, outscoring Boston 14-2 across the last two meetings
Toronto's team OPS (.705) and run total (299) both edge Boston (.698 OPS, 279 runs), and Toronto holds a +5% ATS win-rate edge overall