All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Boston Red Sox
@
Seattle Mariners
Date
Sun, Jun 21
Time
2:10 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Spread
Mariners ML
Odds
-126
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-126 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Seattle's pitching edge and park factors provide a lean toward the Mariners, but their poor home ATS record (14-25) and Boston's momentum from yesterday's win cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Hancock ERA (3.28) vs Early ERA (3.81) — 0.53 ERA advantage for the home starter, and Hancock carries a better record (5-3 vs 5-5)
Seattle team ERA 3.64 vs Boston 3.90, and team WHIP 1.18 vs 1.27 — Mariners pitching staff is measurably superior across the board
T-Mobile Park run factor 0.94 and HR factor 0.87 — pitcher-friendly environment that favors the team with the better pitching, which is Seattle
Seattle overall record 39-38 (.506) vs Boston 30-43 (.411) — Mariners are the better team by 9.5 games in the standings