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MLB · Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies
@
Washington Nationals
Date
Wed, Jun 24
Time
10:45 PM
Venue
Nationals Park
Spread
Phillies ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-136 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Philadelphia's superior team pitching metrics and overall record provide a narrow edge on the moneyline at -136, but Schwarber's health, Washington's underdog ATS dominance, and two struggling starters keep this firmly in LEAN territory.
Key Factors
Phillies team ERA is 4.13 vs Nationals 4.71 — a 0.58 gap favoring Philadelphia's pitching staff overall
Phillies Opp OPS allowed is 0.725 vs Nationals 0.763 — Washington's pitching is more hittable across the board
Phillies are 43-36 (.544 win%) vs Nationals 41-39 (.512) — Philadelphia is the better overall team by record
Phillies won yesterday's series game 14-9, carrying a W1 streak into this matchup vs Washington's L1