All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
San Diego Padres
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Wed, Jul 1
Time
6:20 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-126
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-126 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
The Cubs' offensive superiority and better overall record create a lean, but the Cubs' brutal 15-27 home ATS record and Buehler's ERA advantage over Rea cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Cubs team OPS .743 vs Padres .743 — Cubs have scored 425 runs vs Padres 330, a 95-run gap that represents a massive offensive edge
Cubs on a W4 streak; Padres on an L4 skid entering this game
Wind blowing out to RF at 8 mph at Wrigley with HR factor 1.08 — slightly hitter-friendly, favors the higher-OPS Cubs lineup
Cubs 48-38 overall (.558 win%) vs Padres 43-41 (.512) — Cubs are the better team by record and run differential (+0.5 vs -0.2)