All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Athletics
@
New York Mets
Date
Sun, Apr 12
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Athletics ML
Odds
+144
Risk
MOD
PICK
Athletics ML
+144 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Civale's 2.10 ERA advantage over Peralta, Oakland's elite road ATS record, and the Mets' injury-depleted roster combine to make Athletics ML at +144 a clear positive-EV underdog play.
Key Factors
Athletics are 7-3 ATS last 10 vs Mets' 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 40-point gap in recent cover rate
Pitcher ERA edge: Civale (2.70) vs Peralta (4.80) — a 2.10 ERA delta, well above the 1.5 threshold flagged as a significant edge
Athletics are 7-4 ATS (.636) on the road this season; Mets are 2-6 ATS (.250) at home as a favorite — elite road/fade-home alignment
Athletics have won the first two games of this series (11-6, 4-0) and carry a 4-game win streak; Mets are on a 4-game losing skid with Juan Soto (10-Day IL) and multiple bullpen arms unavailable