All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
@
Houston Astros
Date
Fri, Apr 17
Time
12:10 AM
Venue
Daikin Park
Spread
Astros ML
Odds
-171
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Astros ML
-171 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Houston's superior home record, stronger lineup, and Colorado's road futility provide a lean toward the Astros ML, but the thin pitching on both sides and Colorado's ATS underdog history keep this from being a strong pick.
Key Factors
Astros are 7-2 at home SU this season and 6-3 ATS at home (.667), the strongest split in this dataset
Colorado is on a 6-game losing streak and 2-10 on the road this season, the worst road record in this matchup
Houston's team OPS (0.799) and BA (.269) significantly outpace Colorado's (0.681 / .235), and Houston has scored 105 runs vs Colorado's 72
Houston starter Ryan Weiss (7.36 ERA) is bad, but Colorado's Juan Mejia (5.40 ERA) is also bad — the offensive edge to Houston's lineup becomes the tiebreaker when both starters are liabilities