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MLB · Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Fri, Apr 17
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
+113 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
The Rays get plus money with the better starter on the mound and the hotter ATS trend, making Tampa Bay ML a slight value lean despite Pittsburgh's superior team ERA and home advantage.
Key Factors
Nick Martinez ERA of 2.16 vs Bubba Chandler ERA of 3.86 — a 1.70 ERA delta favoring Tampa Bay's starter
Rays on an 8-2 ATS run last 10 games, the single hottest ATS trend in this matchup
Rays are on a 6-game win streak vs Pirates on a 1-game losing streak after a 7-8 loss to Washington
Rays ML available at +113 (underdog plus money), offering positive EV if win probability is near or above 47%