All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Texas Rangers
Date
Wed, Apr 29
Time
12:05 AM
Venue
Globe Life Field
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-122 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Yankees ML is a LEAN — the team quality gap, road ATS dominance, and recent form all point New York's direction, but deGrom's elite ceiling and the Yankees' injury load prevent this from reaching PICK threshold at -122.
Key Factors
Yankees are 9-1 ATS last 10 games vs Rangers' 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 60-point gap in recent form
Yankees road ATS record is 11-5 (.688) while Rangers home ATS is only 5-8 (.385) — elite road team vs weak home team
Yankees team OPS .768 vs Rangers .768 — but Yankees have scored 150 runs vs Rangers' 115, a 35-run gap on the season
Yankees team ERA 3.18 and WHIP 1.13 vs Rangers ERA 3.60 and WHIP 1.25 — clear pitching quality edge across the board