All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays
@
Cleveland Guardians
Date
Wed, Apr 29
Time
5:10 PM
Venue
Progressive Field
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
+100
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
+100 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Tampa Bay's momentum, pitching edge, and road ATS performance give a lean toward the Rays ML at plus money, but the market's -120 price on Cleveland and Williams' strong record prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Rays are 7-3 ATS last 10 vs. Cleveland's 4-6, a 30-point ATS win-rate gap over the same window
Rays on a W6 streak vs. Guardians on an L4 streak — including two straight losses to this exact Tampa Bay squad at Progressive Field (0-1, 2-3)
Rays team OPS .716 vs. Guardians .716 — but Tampa's BA .253 vs. Cleveland's .227 and 136 runs scored vs. 120 favor Tampa offensively
Drew Rasmussen (2-0, 2.45 ERA) holds a meaningful ERA edge over Gavin Williams (4-1, 3.28) — a 0.83 ERA delta favoring the Rays starter