All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Montreal Canadiens
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
Date
Sun, May 3
Time
10:00 PM
Venue
Benchmark International Arena
Spread
Canadiens ML
Odds
+136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
+136 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Montreal ML is a LEAN — the underdog ATS track record and team goaltending edge provide real value at +136, but Vasilevskiy's individual superiority and Tampa's home advantage keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Montreal team SV% is 91.6% (#7) vs Tampa's 90.5% (#11) — a +0.011 gap favoring the Canadiens crease collectively
Montreal is 7-3 ATS last 10 games vs Tampa's 5-5, showing stronger recent betting form
Montreal is 24-17 (.585) ATS on the road this season — elite road ATS performance
Montreal is 44-24 (.647) ATS as an underdog, a strong historical edge in this exact role at +136
Head-to-head series is dead even at 3-3 this season, with Montreal winning the most recent game 1-0