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MLB · MoneylineActive
Miami Marlins
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Sun, Apr 12
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-199
Risk
MOD
PICK
Tigers ML
-199 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Detroit's overwhelming home splits, back-to-back series wins over this exact Marlins team, and Miami's decimated roster and poor road record combine to make the Tigers a legitimate home favorite worth backing despite the steep -199 price.
Key Factors
Detroit is 4-1 at home ATS (.800) vs Miami's brutal 1-4 road ATS (.200) — a 60-point ATS split favoring the home side
Detroit has won both prior meetings this series (6-1, 2-0) and carries a W2 streak vs Miami's L2 skid entering this rubber game
Miami's road record is 1-4 SU — they have won just one game away from home all season
Miami is carrying 6+ players on the IL including multiple outfielders (Conine, Stowers, Morel, Ruiz), thinning their lineup depth considerably